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stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
Stable and Scalable Probabilistic Numerical Solvers for S...
Nathanael Bosch · 2026-06-06 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Filtering-based probabilistic numerical solvers for ordinary differential equations (ODEs) have been established as a flexible and efficient simulation framework with built-in numerical uncertainty quantification. However, problems that are both stiff and high-dimensional remain a challenge, as current methods are either stable and have cubic cost in the ODE dimension, or scale linearly at the expense of stability. In this paper, we close this gap and develop probabilistic ODE solvers that are both stable and scalable. We propose two complementary strategies. First, we develop a matrix-free update step that uses Jacobian-vector products, iterative linear solvers, and stochastic covariance estimation to enable linear scaling, all while retaining stability. Second, we propose iterative re-linearization to further improve stability without sacrificing scalability, turning probabilistic ODE solvers into fully implicit methods. We evaluate the proposed approaches on a range of stiff and high-dimensional problems and demonstrate improved stability and scalability over established probabilistic solvers.