惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

博客园 - 司徒正美
The GitHub Blog
The GitHub Blog
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
Apple Machine Learning Research
Apple Machine Learning Research
L
LangChain Blog
GbyAI
GbyAI
博客园_首页
V
Visual Studio Blog
Martin Fowler
Martin Fowler
WordPress大学
WordPress大学
H
Hackread – Cybersecurity News, Data Breaches, AI and More
博客园 - 叶小钗
腾讯CDC
博客园 - Franky
IT之家
IT之家
Google DeepMind News
Google DeepMind News
Microsoft Azure Blog
Microsoft Azure Blog
D
Docker
大猫的无限游戏
大猫的无限游戏
Recent Announcements
Recent Announcements
小众软件
小众软件
博客园 - 三生石上(FineUI控件)
B
Blog
酷 壳 – CoolShell
酷 壳 – CoolShell

stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
Post-selection Inference for Conformal Prediction: Tradin...
Siddhaarth Sarkar, Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla · 2023-04-13 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Conformal inference has played a pivotal role in providing uncertainty quantification for black-box ML prediction algorithms with finite sample guarantees. Traditionally, conformal prediction inference requires a data-independent specification of miscoverage level. In practical applications, one might want to update the miscoverage level after computing the prediction set. For example, in the context of binary classification, the analyst might start with a 95$\%$ prediction sets and see that most prediction sets contain all outcome classes. Prediction sets with both classes being undesirable, the analyst might desire to consider, say 80$\%$ prediction set. Construction of prediction sets that guarantee coverage with data-dependent miscoverage level can be considered as a post-selection inference problem. In this work, we develop simultaneous conformal inference to account for data-dependent miscoverage levels. Under the assumption of independent and identically distributed observations, our proposed methods have a finite sample simultaneous guarantee over all miscoverage levels. This allows practitioners to trade freely coverage probability for the quality of the prediction set by any criterion of their choice (say size of prediction set) while maintaining the finite sample guarantees similar to traditional conformal inference.