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Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
Model Predictive Control is almost Optimal for Heterogene...
[Submitted on 11 Nov 2025 (v1), last revised 1 Sep 2026 (this ve · 2025-11-11 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

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Abstract:We consider a general infinite horizon Heterogeneous Restless multi-armed Bandit (RMAB). Heterogeneity is a fundamental problem for many real-world systems largely because it resists many concentration arguments. In this paper, we assume that each of the $N$ arms can have different model parameters. Model predictive control is a well-known control strategy that repeatedly solves a finite-horizon optimization problem of length $\tau$ to produce a policy that can be applied to an infinite-horizon setting. In this paper, we adopt this approach by repeatedly solving a finite linear program, yielding what we call the LP-update policy for the infinite-horizon problem. Under a mild assumption of uniform ergodicity, we show an $\mathcal{O}\left(\sqrt{1/N}\right)$ suboptimality gap on this well-known algorithm that works very well in practice. In addition to the LP-update policy we are able to derive a finite-horizon policy (LP-update with recomputation) that segments the infinite time horizon into finite horizon problems that allow us to explicitly connect the length of computation time to the acceptable error tolerance. Our simulations demonstrate that our algorithm works extremely well even when this finite-horizon, $\tau$, is very small (in our case $5$), which makes it computationally efficient. Our theoretical results draw on techniques from the model predictive control literature by invoking the concept of \emph{dissipativity} and generalize quite easily to the more general weakly coupled heterogeneous Markov Decision Process setting. In addition, we draw a parallel between our own policy and the LP-index policy by showing that the LP-index policy corresponds to $\tau=1$.

Submission history

From: Dheeraj Narasimha [view email]
[v1] Tue, 11 Nov 2025 10:53:49 UTC (120 KB)
[v2] Tue, 1 Sep 2026 11:36:45 UTC (119 KB)