惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

The GitHub Blog
The GitHub Blog
雷峰网
雷峰网
小众软件
小众软件
博客园 - 【当耐特】
J
Java Code Geeks
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
Hugging Face - Blog
Hugging Face - Blog
腾讯CDC
Engineering at Meta
Engineering at Meta
aimingoo的专栏
aimingoo的专栏
A
About on SuperTechFans
H
Help Net Security
博客园_首页
P
Proofpoint News Feed
GbyAI
GbyAI
大猫的无限游戏
大猫的无限游戏
N
Netflix TechBlog - Medium
爱范儿
爱范儿
MyScale Blog
MyScale Blog
Blog — PlanetScale
Blog — PlanetScale
The Cloudflare Blog
MongoDB | Blog
MongoDB | Blog
酷 壳 – CoolShell
酷 壳 – CoolShell
Google DeepMind News
Google DeepMind News

stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
Adaptive Off-Policy Inference for M-Estimators Under Mode...
James Leiner, Robin Dunn, Aaditya Ramdas · 2025-09-18 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

When data are collected adaptively, such as in bandit algorithms, classical statistical approaches such as ordinary least squares and $M$-estimation will often fail to achieve asymptotic normality. Although recent lines of work have modified the classical approaches to ensure valid inference on adaptively collected data, most of these works assume that the model is correctly specified. The misspecified setting poses unique challenges because the parameter of interest itself may not be well-defined over a non-stationary distribution of rewards. We therefore tackle the problem of \emph{off-policy} inference in adaptive settings, where we uniquely define a projected solution over a stationary evaluation policy. Our method provides valid inference for $M$-estimators that use adaptively collected bandit data with a possibly misspecified working model. A key ingredient in our approach is the use of flexible approaches to stabilize the variance induced by adaptive data collection. A major novelty is that the procedure enables the construction of valid confidence sets even in settings where treatment policies are unstable and non-converging, such as when there is no unique optimal arm and standard bandit algorithms are used. Empirical results on semi-synthetic datasets constructed from the Osteoarthritis Initiative demonstrate that the method maintains type I error control, while existing methods for inference in adaptive settings do not cover in the misspecified case.