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stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
Monte Carlo Stochastic Depth for Uncertainty Estimation i...
Adam T. Müller, Tobias Rögelein, Nicolaj C. Stache · 2026-04-14 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

The deployment of deep neural networks in safety-critical systems necessitates reliable and efficient uncertainty quantification (UQ). A practical and widespread strategy for UQ is repurposing stochastic regularizers as scalable approximate Bayesian inference methods, such as Monte Carlo Dropout (MCD) and MC-DropBlock (MCDB). However, this paradigm remains under-explored for Stochastic Depth (SD), a regularizer integral to the residual-based backbones of most modern architectures. While prior work demonstrated its empirical promise for segmentation, a formal theoretical connection to Bayesian variational inference and a benchmark on complex, multi-task problems like object detection are missing. In this paper, we first provide theoretical insights connecting Monte Carlo Stochastic Depth (MCSD) to principled approximate variational inference. We then present the first comprehensive empirical benchmark of MCSD against MCD and MCDB on state-of-the-art detectors (YOLO, RT-DETR) using the COCO and COCO-O datasets. Our results position MCSD as a robust and computationally efficient method that achieves highly competitive predictive accuracy (mAP), notably yielding slight improvements in calibration (ECE) and uncertainty ranking (AUARC) compared to MCD. We thus establish MCSD as a theoretically-grounded and empirically-validated tool for efficient Bayesian approximation in modern deep learning.