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Ultrametric OGP - parametric RDT \emph{symmetric} binary ...
Mihailo Stojnic · 2026-04-22 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

In [97,99,100], an fl-RDT framework is introduced to characterize \emph{statistical computational gaps} (SCGs). Studying \emph{symmetric binary perceptrons} (SBPs), [100] obtained an \emph{algorithmic} threshold estimate $α_a\approx α_c^{(7)}\approx 1.6093$ at the 7th lifting level (for $κ=1$ margin), closely approaching $1.58$ local entropy (LE) prediction [18]. In this paper, we further connect parametric RDT to overlap gap properties (OGPs), another key geometric feature of the solution space. Specifically, for any positive integer $s$, we consider $s$-level ultrametric OGPs ($ult_s$-OGPs) and rigorously upper-bound the associated constraint densities $α_{ult_s}$. To achieve this, we develop an analytical union-bounding program consisting of combinatorial and probabilistic components. By casting the combinatorial part as a convex problem and the probabilistic part as a nested integration, we conduct numerical evaluations and obtain that the tightest bounds at the first two levels, $\barα_{ult_1} \approx 1.6578$ and $\barα_{ult_2} \approx 1.6219$, closely approach the 3rd and 4th lifting level parametric RDT estimates, $α_c^{(3)} \approx 1.6576$ and $α_c^{(4)} \approx 1.6218$. We also observe excellent agreement across other key parameters, including overlap values and the relative sizes of ultrametric clusters. Based on these observations, we propose several conjectures linking $ult$-OGP and parametric RDT. Specifically, we conjecture that algorithmic threshold $α_a=\lim_{s\rightarrow\infty} α_{ult_s} = \lim_{s\rightarrow\infty} \barα{ult_s} = \lim_{r\rightarrow\infty} α_{c}^{(r)}$, and $α_{ult_s} \leq α_{c}^{(s+2)}$ (with possible equality for some (maybe even all) $s$). Finally, we discuss the potential existence of a full isomorphism connecting all key parameters of $ult$-OGP and parametric RDT.