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Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
MMDCP: A Distribution-free Approach to Outlier Detection ...
Youwu Lin, Xiaoyu Qian, Jinru Wu, Qi Liu, Pei Wang · 2025-11-15 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

We propose the Modified Mahalanobis Distance Conformal Prediction (MMDCP), a unified framework for multi-class classification and outlier detection under label shift, where the training and test distributions may differ. In such settings, many existing methods construct nonconformity scores based on empirical cumulative or density functions combined with data-splitting strategies. However, these approaches are often computationally expensive due to their heavy reliance on resampling procedures and tend to produce overly conservative prediction sets with unstable coverage, especially in small samples. To address these challenges, MMDCP combines class-specific distance measures with full conformal prediction to construct a score function, thereby producing adaptive prediction sets that effectively capture both inlier and outlier structures. Under mild regularity conditions, we establish convergence rates for the resulting sets and provide the first theoretical characterization of the gap between oracle and empirical conformal $p$-values, which ensures valid coverage and effective control of the class-wise false discovery rate (CW-FDR). We further introduce the Summarized Class-Wise FDR (SCW-FDR), a novel global error metric aggregating false discoveries across classes, and show that it can be effectively controlled within the MMDCP framework. Extensive simulations and two real-data applications support our theoretical findings and demonstrate the advantages of the proposed method.