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LD-EnSF: Synergizing Latent Dynamics with Ensemble Score ...
Pengpeng Xiao, Phillip Si, Peng Chen · 2024-11-29 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Data assimilation techniques are crucial for accurately tracking complex dynamical systems by integrating observational data with numerical forecasts. Recently, score-based data assimilation methods emerged as powerful tools for high-dimensional and nonlinear data assimilation. However, these methods still incur substantial computational costs due to the need for expensive forward simulations. In this work, we propose LD-EnSF, a novel score-based data assimilation method that eliminates the need for full-space simulations by evolving dynamics directly in a compact latent space. Our method incorporates improved Latent Dynamics Networks (LDNets) to learn accurate surrogate dynamics and introduces a history-aware LSTM encoder to effectively process sparse and irregular observations. By operating entirely in the latent space, LD-EnSF achieves speedups orders of magnitude over existing methods while maintaining high accuracy and robustness. We demonstrate the effectiveness of LD-EnSF on several challenging high-dimensional benchmarks with highly sparse (in both space and time) and noisy observations.