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stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
MCAnalysis: An Open-Source Package for Preprocessing, Mod...
Kyra Delray, Glyn Lewis, Bola Grace, Joseph Hayes, Robin Evans · 2026-04-14 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

The menstrual cycle influences numerous physiological and psychological outcomes, yet standardised, open-source statistical methods for quantifying these cyclic effects remain lacking. We developed mcanalysis, an open-source package in R and Python implementing a Fourier-basis generalised additive model (GAM) for menstrual cycle research. The package provides a complete pipeline: processing period dates, labelling cycle days relative to menstruation onset, filtering physiologically plausible cycles, normalising outcomes to individual means, fitting cyclic GAMs with bootstrap confidence intervals, and identifying turning points to generate phase-specific linear trend estimates. We demonstrate the package on 15 wearable and self-reported outcomes using data from the Juli chronic health management application (N = 2,816 users). Nine of 15 outcomes showed evidence of association with the menstrual cycle (p < 0.05), spanning physiological (HRV p < 0.001, oxygen saturation p = 0.002), sleep (p = 0.003), symptom (migraine p < 0.001, headache p = 0.005), mood (EMA mood p = 0.024, PHQ-8 lack of energy p = 0.008, mania p = 0.041), and activity (hours outside p = 0.019) domains. No tested confounders were significantly associated with cycle-normalised outcomes. mcanalysis provides a standardised, reproducible approach to menstrual cycle analysis for users at all levels of statistical expertise. The package is freely available at https://github.com/kyradelray/mcanalysis, with a no-code web interface at https://kyradelray.shinyapps.io/mcanalysis/.