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stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
Wild Bootstrap Inference for Non-Negative Matrix Factoriz...
Kenichi Satoh · 2026-03-02 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) is widely used for parts-based representations, yet formal inference for covariate effects is rarely available when the basis is learned under non-negativity. We introduce non-negative matrix factorization with random effects (NMF-RE), a mean-structure latent-variable model $Y=X(ΘA+U)+\mathcal{E}$ that combines covariate-driven scores with unit-specific deviations. Random effects act as a working device for modeling heterogeneity and controlling complexity; we monitor their effective degrees of freedom and enforce a df-based cap to prevent near-saturated fits. Estimation alternates closed-form ridge (BLUP-like) updates for $U$ with multiplicative non-negative updates for $X$ and $Θ$. For inference on $Θ$, we condition on $(\widehat X,\widehat U)$ and obtain fast uncertainty quantification via asymptotic linearization, a one-step Newton update, and a multiplier (wild) bootstrap; this avoids repeated constrained re-optimization. Simulations include a targeted stress test showing that, without df control, the random-effects penalty can collapse and inference for $Θ$ becomes degenerate, whereas the df-cap prevents this failure mode. The non-negativity constraint induces sparse, parts-based loadings -- a measurement-side variable selection -- while inference on $Θ$ identifies which covariates affect which components, providing covariate-side selection. Longitudinal, psychometric, spatial-flow, and text examples further illustrate stable, interpretable covariate-effect inference.