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stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization Sandpile Economics: Theory, Identification, and Evidence Online learning with noisy side observations Spectral Thompson sampling Covariance-adapting algorithm for semi-bandits with application to sparse rewards Ordinary Least Squares is a Special Case of Transformer Metric-Aware Principal Component Analysis (MAPCA):A Unified Framework for Scale-Invariant Representation Learning Robust Low-Rank Tensor Completion based on M-product with Weighted Correlated Total Variation and Sparse Regularization Joint Representation Learning and Clustering via Gradient-Based Manifold Optimization Universality of Gaussian-Mixture Reverse Kernels in Conditional Diffusion Interpretable and Explainable Surrogate Modeling for Simulations: A State-of-the-Art Survey and Perspectives on Explainable AI for Decision-Making Estimating Continuous Treatment Effects with Two-Stage Kernel Ridge Regression A short proof of near-linear convergence of adaptive gradient descent under fourth-order growth and convexity Some Theoretical Limitations of t-SNE Bias-Corrected Adaptive Conformal Inference for Multi-Horizon Time Series Forecasting Identifiability of Potentially Degenerate Gaussian Mixture Models With Piecewise Affine Mixing Rare Event Analysis via Stochastic Optimal Control Adaptive Learning via Off-Model Training and Importance Sampling for Fully Non-Markovian Optimal Stochastic Control. 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The Devil Is in Gradient Entanglement: Energy-Aware Gradient Coordinator for Robust Generalized Category Discovery A Tutorial Review of Bayesian Optimization with Gaussian Processes to Accelerate Stationary Point Searches Certified and accurate computation of function space norms of deep neural networks Mini-Batch Covariance, Diffusion Limits, and Oracle Complexity in Stochastic Gradient Descent: A Sampling-Design Perspective Conformal Policy Control Diagnostics for Individual-Level Prediction Instability in Machine Learning for Healthcare Neural Networks With Dense Weights Are Not Universal Approximators Continuous-time reinforcement learning: ellipticity enables model-free value function approximation Scalable spatial point process models for forensic footwear analysis A Review of Diffusion-based Simulation-Based Inference: Foundations and Applications in Non-Ideal Data Scenarios Active Learning with Selective Time-Step Acquisition for PDEs Joint Score-Threshold Optimization for Interpretable Risk Assessment Revisiting Entropy Regularization: Adaptive Coefficient Unlocks Its Potential for LLM Reinforcement Learning Discrete Guidance Matching: Exact Guidance for Discrete Flow Matching PnP-CM: Consistency Models as Plug-and-Play Priors for Inverse Problems Online Distributionally Robust LLM Alignment via Regression to Relative Reward Heavy-Tailed Class-Conditional Priors for Long-Tailed Generative Modeling Random Walk Learning and the Pac-Man Attack Sequential Regression Learning with Randomized Algorithms Diagnosing and Improving Diffusion Models by Estimating the Optimal Loss Value Random Matrix Theory for Deep Learning: Beyond Eigenvalues of Linear Models Scalable Spatiotemporal Inference with Biased Scan Attention Transformer Neural Processes Towards AI-assisted Neutrino Flavor Theory Design Towards Reasonable Concept Bottleneck Models Practical estimation of the optimal classification error with soft labels and calibration Flow-based Generative Modeling of Potential Outcomes and Counterfactuals The Gaussian Latent Machine: Efficient Prior and Posterior Sampling for Inverse Problems Two-Dimensional Deep ReLU CNN Approximation for Korobov Functions: A Constructive Approach FSPO: Few-Shot Optimization of Synthetic Preferences Personalizes to Real Users Identifying Information from Observations with Uncertainty and Novelty A ghost mechanism: An analytical model of abrupt learning in recurrent networks A Multiparty Homomorphic Encryption Approach to Confidential Federated Kaplan Meier Survival Analysis Large Language Models for Market Research: A Data-augmentation Approach Transformer Neural Processes - Kernel Regression FIT-GNN: Faster Inference Time for GNNs that 'FIT' in Memory Using Coarsening Estimating Joint Interventional Distributions from Marginal Interventional Data Nonparametric Sparse Online Learning of the Koopman Operator
Coupled Entropy: A Goldilocks Generalization for Complex Systems
Kenric P. Nelson · 2025-05-18 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

The coupled entropy is proven to correct a flaw in the derivation of the Tsallis entropy and thereby solidify the theoretical foundations for analyzing the uncertainty of complex systems. The Tsallis entropy originated from considering power probabilities $p_i^q$ in which \textit{q} independent, identically-distributed random variables share the same state. The maximum entropy distribution was derived to be a \textit{q}-exponential, which is a member of the shape ($κ$), scale ($σ$) distributions. Unfortunately, the $q$-exponential parameters were treated as though valid substitutes for the shape and scale. This flaw causes a misinterpretation of the generalized temperature and an imprecise derivation of the generalized entropy. The coupled entropy is derived from the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) and the Student's t distribution, whose shape derives from nonlinear sources and scale derives from linear sources of uncertainty. The Tsallis entropy of the GPD converges to one as $κ\rightarrow\infty$, which makes it too cold. The normalized Tsallis entropy (NTE) introduces a nonlinear term multiplying the scale and the coupling, making it too hot. The coupled entropy provides perfect balance, ranging from $\ln σ$ for $κ=0$ to $σ$ as $κ\rightarrow\infty$. One could say, the coupled entropy allows scientists, engineers, and analysts to eat their porridge, confident that its measure of uncertainty reflects the mathematical physics of the scale of non-exponential distributions while minimizing the dependence on the shape or nonlinear coupling. Examples of complex systems design including a coupled variation inference algorithm are reviewed.