惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

WordPress大学
WordPress大学
A
About on SuperTechFans
量子位
B
Blog RSS Feed
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
博客园_首页
MongoDB | Blog
MongoDB | Blog
小众软件
小众软件
Blog — PlanetScale
Blog — PlanetScale
Microsoft Azure Blog
Microsoft Azure Blog
V
V2EX
Google DeepMind News
Google DeepMind News
Cyber Security Advisories - MS-ISAC
Cyber Security Advisories - MS-ISAC
H
Hackread – Cybersecurity News, Data Breaches, AI and More
G
Google Developers Blog
U
Unit 42
D
DataBreaches.Net
博客园 - Franky
D
Docker
宝玉的分享
宝玉的分享
Y
Y Combinator Blog
月光博客
月光博客
freeCodeCamp Programming Tutorials: Python, JavaScript, Git & More
Hugging Face - Blog
Hugging Face - Blog

stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
Advanced posterior analyses of hidden Markov models: fini...
Zenia Elise Damgaard Bæk, Moisès Coll Macià, Laurits Skov, Asger · 2025-04-21 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Two major tasks in applications of hidden Markov models are to (i) compute distributions of summary statistics of the hidden state sequence, and (ii) decode the hidden state sequence. We describe finite Markov chain imbedding (FMCI) and hybrid decoding to solve each of these two tasks. In the first part of our paper we use FMCI to compute posterior distributions of summary statistics such as the number of visits to a hidden state, the total time spent in a hidden state, the dwell time in a hidden state, and the longest run length. We use simulations from the hidden state sequence, conditional on the observed sequence, to establish the FMCI framework. In the second part of our paper we apply hybrid segmentation for improved decoding of a HMM. We demonstrate that hybrid decoding shows increased performance compared to Viterbi or Posterior decoding (often also referred to as global or local decoding), and we introduce a novel procedure for choosing the tuning parameter in the hybrid procedure. Furthermore, we provide an alternative derivation of the hybrid loss function based on weighted geometric means. We demonstrate and apply FMCI and hybrid decoding on various classical data sets, and supply accompanying code for reproducibility.