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stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

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Model selection with Gini indices under auto-calibration
Mario V. Wüthrich · 2022-07-29 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

The Gini index does not give a strictly consistent scoring rule in general. Therefore, maximizing the Gini index may lead to wrong decisions. The main issue is that the Gini index is a rank-based score that is not calibration-sensitive. We show that the Gini index allows for strictly consistent scoring if we restrict to the class of auto-calibrated regression models.