惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

The GitHub Blog
The GitHub Blog
Martin Fowler
Martin Fowler
Vercel News
Vercel News
U
Unit 42
Engineering at Meta
Engineering at Meta
aimingoo的专栏
aimingoo的专栏
MyScale Blog
MyScale Blog
Y
Y Combinator Blog
阮一峰的网络日志
阮一峰的网络日志
爱范儿
爱范儿
Apple Machine Learning Research
Apple Machine Learning Research
博客园_首页
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
B
Blog RSS Feed
N
Netflix TechBlog - Medium
GbyAI
GbyAI
F
Fortinet All Blogs
MongoDB | Blog
MongoDB | Blog
大猫的无限游戏
大猫的无限游戏
C
Check Point Blog
M
MIT News - Artificial intelligence
D
Docker
IT之家
IT之家
Stack Overflow Blog
Stack Overflow Blog

stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
Neural Conditional Event Time Models
Matthew Engelhard, Samuel Berchuck, Joshua D'Arcy, Ricardo Henao · 2020-04-03 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Event time models predict occurrence times of an event of interest based on known features. Recent work has demonstrated that neural networks achieve state-of-the-art event time predictions in a variety of settings. However, standard event time models suppose that the event occurs, eventually, in all cases. Consequently, no distinction is made between a) the probability of event occurrence, and b) the predicted time of occurrence. This distinction is critical when predicting medical diagnoses, equipment defects, social media posts, and other events that or may not occur, and for which the features affecting a) may be different from those affecting b). In this work, we develop a conditional event time model that distinguishes between these components, implement it as a neural network with a binary stochastic layer representing finite event occurrence, and show how it may be learned from right-censored event times via maximum likelihood estimation. Results demonstrate superior event occurrence and event time predictions on synthetic data, medical events (MIMIC-III), and social media posts (Reddit), comprising 21 total prediction tasks.