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stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
Machine Learning Approach and Extreme Value Theory to Cor...
Omar Alzeley, Sadiah Aljeddani · 2023-01-27 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

The main goal of machine learning (ML) is to study and improve mathematical models which can be trained with data provided by the environment to infer the future and to make decisions without necessarily having complete knowledge of all influencing elements. In this work, we describe how ML can be a powerful tool in studying climate modeling. Tree ring growth was used as an implementation in different aspects, for example, studying the history of buildings and environment. By growing and via the time, a new layer of wood to beneath its bark by the tree. After years of growing, time series can be applied via a sequence of tree ring widths. The purpose of this paper is to use ML algorithms and Extreme Value Theory in order to analyse a set of tree ring widths data from nine trees growing in Nottinghamshire. Initially, we start by exploring the data through a variety of descriptive statistical approaches. Transforming data is important at this stage to find out any problem in modelling algorithm. We then use algorithm tuning and ensemble methods to improve the k-nearest neighbors (KNN) algorithm. A comparison between the developed method in this study ad other methods are applied. Also, extreme value of the dataset will be more investigated. The results of the analysis study show that the ML algorithms in the Random Forest method would give accurate results in the analysis of tree ring widths data from nine trees growing in Nottinghamshire with the lowest Root Mean Square Error value. Also, we notice that as the assumed ARMA model parameters increased, the probability of selecting the true model also increased. In terms of the Extreme Value Theory, the Weibull distribution would be a good choice to model tree ring data.