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stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
A Tale of Two Cities: Pessimism and Opportunism in Offlin...
Zeyu Bian, Lan Wang, Zhengling Qi · 2024-11-13 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

We study offline dynamic pricing when historical data provide incomplete coverage of the price space such that some candidate prices, including the optimal one, may be entirely unobserved. This setting is common in practice and is especially difficult in dynamic environments. Existing offline reinforcement learning methods typically rely on full or partial coverage and can therefore perform poorly in such settings. We develop a nonparametric partial identification framework for offline dynamic pricing that exploits the monotonicity of demand in price to bound the value of unobserved prices. Within this framework, we formulate two dynamic decision rules: a pessimistic policy that maximizes worst-case revenue and an opportunistic policy that minimizes worst-case regret. These rules are tailored to a sequential no-coverage environment and are not direct extensions of existing pessimistic offline RL or static opportunistic approaches. We establish finite-sample regret bounds for both policies, recovering the standard rate when the optimal price is covered and quantifying the additional cost when it is not. We also develop efficient algorithms and show, through simulations and an airline ticket application, that our methods outperform standard offline RL baselines in no-coverage settings. Managerially, the framework provides a practical mapping from a firm's risk posture to its pricing policy: firms seeking revenue stability and downside protection should prefer the pessimistic policy, whereas firms willing to bear measured risk for potential gains from underexplored prices should prefer the opportunistic policy.