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Abstract:Uncovering the causal mechanisms of complex real-world systems remains a significant challenge, as these systems often entail high data collection costs and involve unknown interventions. We introduce MetaCaDI, the first framework to cast the identification of unknown interventions as a meta-learning problem, explicitly leveraging a jointly learned causal graph. MetaCaDI is a Bayesian framework that learns a shared causal structure across multiple environments and is optimized to rapidly adapt to new, few-shot intervention target identification tasks. A key innovation is our model's analytical adaptation, which uses a closed-form solution to bypass expensive and potentially unstable gradient-based bilevel optimization. Extensive experiments on synthetic and complex gene expression data demonstrate that MetaCaDI significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods. It excels at identifying intervention targets from as few as 3 samples - where existing methods collapse to random chance - while robustly recovering the shared causal graph, proving its effectiveness in data-scarce scenarios.

Submission history

From: Hans Jarett Ong [view email]
[v1] Sat, 25 Oct 2025 13:59:42 UTC (399 KB)
[v2] Fri, 3 Jul 2026 01:15:14 UTC (402 KB)