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Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
Learning to Infer Unobserved Behaviors: Estimating User's...
Atanu R Sinha, Tanay Anand, Paridhi Maheshwari, A V Lakshmy, Vis · 2023-12-15 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

A site's recommendation system relies on knowledge of its users' preferences to offer relevant recommendations to them. These preferences are for attributes that comprise items and content shown on the site, and are estimated from the data of users' interactions with the site. Another form of users' preferences is material too, namely, users' preferences for the site over other sites, since that shows users' base level propensities to engage with the site. Estimating users' preferences for the site, however, faces major obstacles because (a) the focal site usually has no data of its users' interactions with other sites; these interactions are users' unobserved behaviors for the focal site; and (b) the Machine Learning literature in recommendation does not offer a model of this situation. Even if (b) is resolved, the problem in (a) persists since without access to data of its users' interactions with other sites, there is no ground truth for evaluation. Moreover, it is most useful when (c) users' preferences for the site can be estimated at the individual level, since the site can then personalize recommendations to individual users. We offer a method to estimate individual user's preference for a focal site, under this premise. In particular, we compute the focal site's share of a user's online engagements without any data from other sites. We show an evaluation framework for the model using only the focal site's data, allowing the site to test the model. We rely upon a Hierarchical Bayes Method and perform estimation in two different ways - Markov Chain Monte Carlo and Stochastic Gradient with Langevin Dynamics. Our results find good support for the approach to computing personalized share of engagement and for its evaluation.