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What Do Temporal Graph Learning Models Learn?
[Submitted on 10 Oct 2025 (v1), last revised 15 Jul 2026 (this v · 2025-10-10 · via cs.SI updates on arXiv.org

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Abstract:Learning on temporal graphs has become a central topic in graph representation learning, with numerous benchmarks indicating the strong performance of state-of-the-art models. However, recent work has raised concerns about the reliability of benchmark results, noting issues with commonly used evaluation protocols and the surprising competitiveness of simple heuristics. This contrast raises the question of which characteristics of the underlying graphs temporal graph learning models actually use to form their predictions. We address this by systematically evaluating eight models on their ability to capture eight fundamental characteristics related to the link structure of temporal graphs. These include structural characteristics such as density, temporal patterns such as recency, and edge formation mechanisms such as homophily. Using both synthetic and real-world datasets, we analyze how well models learn these characteristics. Our findings reveal a mixed picture: models capture some characteristics well but fail to reproduce others. With this, we expose important limitations. Overall, we believe that our results provide practical insights for the application of temporal graph learning models and motivate more interpretability-driven evaluations in graph learning research.

Submission history

From: Tobias Schumacher [view email]
[v1] Fri, 10 Oct 2025 14:18:37 UTC (390 KB)
[v2] Thu, 12 Feb 2026 16:59:42 UTC (955 KB)
[v3] Wed, 1 Apr 2026 22:24:28 UTC (947 KB)
[v4] Wed, 15 Jul 2026 15:14:01 UTC (1,258 KB)