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cs.SI updates on arXiv.org

Hiding in Plain Sight: Finding MAHA on Reddit Prism: Structural Symmetry Scanning via Duality-Constrained Laplacian Projection MV-Gate: Insider Threat Detection via Multi-View Behavioral Statistics and Semantic Modeling Algorithmic Cultivation: How Social Media Feeds Shape User Language Universal Dynamics of Punctuated Progress AI-Mediated Communication Can Steer Collective Opinion CitePrism: Human-in-the-Loop AI for Citation Auditing and Editorial Integrity Explainable Detection of Depression Status Shifts from User Digital Traces Can Visual Mamba Improve AI-Generated Image Detection? An In-Depth Investigation ScioMind: Cognitively Grounded Multi-Agent Social Simulation with Anchoring-Based Belief Dynamics and Dynamic Profiles Humanwashing -- It Should Leave You Feeling Dirty When Do LLMs Generate Realistic Social Networks? 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A Case Study on Email Networks with Phishing Synthesis Form Without Function: Agent Social Behavior in the Moltbook Network Hijacking online reviews: sparse manipulation and behavioral buffering in popularity-biased rating systems Integration of Deep Reinforcement Learning and Agent-based Simulation to Explore Strategies Counteracting Information Disorder Who Shapes Brazil's Vaccine Debate? Semi-Supervised Modeling of Stance and Polarization in YouTube's Media Ecosystem Geodesic Semantic Search: Cartographic Navigation of Citation Graphs with Learned Local Riemannian Maps PACIFIER: Pacing Opinion Depolarization via a Unified Graph Learning Framework AI Agents Alone Are Not (Yet) Sufficient for Social Simulation Emergent Social Structures in Autonomous AI Agent Networks: A Metadata Analysis of 626 Agents on the Pilot Protocol What's Left Unsaid? Detecting and Correcting Misleading Omissions in Multimodal News Previews Social Story Frames: Contextual Reasoning about Narrative Intent and Reception Learning Multimodal Embeddings for Traffic Accident Prediction and Causal Estimation Context-Aware Detection and Victim-Centered Response Generation for Online Harassment in Private Messaging Beyond Leakage and Complexity: Towards Realistic and Efficient Information Cascade Prediction VERA-MH Concept Paper Beyond the Crowd: LLM-Augmented Community Notes for Governing Health Misinformation Inductive inference of gradient-boosted decision trees on graphs for insurance fraud detection Digital Voices of Survival: From Social Media Disclosures to Support Provisions for Domestic Violence Victims Anti-establishment sentiment on TikTok: Implications for understanding influence(rs) and expertise on social media LLM Agents Are the Antidote to Walled Gardens Fast Geometric Embedding for Node Influence Maximization GARG-AML against Smurfing: A Scalable and Interpretable Graph-Based Framework for Anti-Money Laundering Unsupervised Learning of Local Updates for Maximum Independent Set in Dynamic Graphs Human-AI Governance (HAIG): A Trust-Utility Approach Patients Speak, AI Listens: LLM-based Analysis of Online Reviews Uncovers Key Drivers for Urgent Care Satisfaction Leveraging graph neural networks and mobility data for COVID-19 forecasting Opinion de-polarization in social networks with GNNs Leveraging Ensemble-Based Semi-Supervised Learning for Illicit Account Detection in Ethereum DeFi Transactions Monitoring AI-Modified Content at Scale: A Case Study on the Impact of ChatGPT on AI Conference Peer Reviews
Modeling the Impact of Social Distancing and Targeted Vaccination on the Spread of COVID-19 through a Real City-Scale Contact Network
Gavin S. Hartnett, Edward Parker, Timothy R. Gulden, Raffaele Va · 2021-07-14 · via cs.SI updates on arXiv.org

We use mobile device data to construct empirical interpersonal physical contact networks in the city of Portland, Oregon, both before and after social distancing measures were enacted during the COVID-19 pandemic. These networks reveal how social distancing measures and the public's reaction to the incipient pandemic affected the connectivity patterns within the city. We find that as the pandemic developed there was a substantial decrease in the number of individuals with many contacts. We further study the impact of these different network topologies on the spread of COVID-19 by simulating an SEIR epidemic model over these networks, and find that the reduced connectivity greatly suppressed the epidemic. We then investigate how the epidemic responds when part of the population is vaccinated, and we compare two vaccination distribution strategies, both with and without social distancing. Our main result is that the heavy-tailed degree distribution of the contact networks causes a targeted vaccination strategy that prioritizes high-contact individuals to reduce the number of cases far more effectively than a strategy that vaccinates individuals at random. Combining both targeted vaccination and social distancing leads to the greatest reduction in cases, and we also find that the marginal benefit of a targeted strategy as compared to a random strategy exceeds the marginal benefit of social distancing for reducing the number of cases. These results have important implications for ongoing vaccine distribution efforts worldwide.