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Arsenal vs. Burnley prediction: Odds, preview, best bet f...
Mike Turay · 2026-05-18 · via New York Post
An image collage containing 1 images, Image 1 shows Arsenal's Bukayo Saka celebrates after scoring a goal during a UEFA Champions League semi-final match
Arsenal's Bukayo Saka celebrates after scoring a goal. John Walton/PA via AP

Arsenal is riding high after punching their ticket to the UEFA Champions League final, overcoming Atlético Madrid on aggregate to set up a massive date with Paris Saint-Germain later this month.

Before that high-stakes match, the Gunners return to Emirates Stadium in London on Monday night for their final Premier League home fixture of the campaign against Burnley.

Despite a rocky patch in April, Arsenal have regained control at the top of the EPL table, holding a two-point lead over Manchester City following a string of victories against Newcastle, Fulham and West Ham.

It has been a completely different story for the Clarets.

Arsenal vs. Burnley odds, best bets

Burnley’s season has been challenging, with only one win in their past 26 league matches, though they did draw with Aston Villa on May 10.

A narrow defeat to Man City in late April sealed their relegation after just one year in the top flight, a loss that led to the club and manager Scott Parker going their separate ways.

That explains why Arsenal is an overwhelming -1200 favorite on the three-way moneyline, as Burnley opens a huge 25/1 underdog to win, with the odds of a draw at 12-to-1.

Arsenal player Bukayo Saka celebrates a goal on one knee.
Arsenal’s Bukayo Saka celebrates after scoring the opening goal during a Champions League semifinal, second leg, soccer match between Arsenal and Atletico Madrid. AP

With the Clarets in chaos, this provides an opening for Mikel Arteta’s team and star winger Bukayo Saka, who has regained top form after returning from an Achilles injury.

The Gunners’ highest-paid player has recently demonstrated his value, scoring the decisive goal against Atlético Madrid and forming a promising partnership with Viktor Gyökeres in their recent 3-0 victory over Fulham.

This pairing has found its groove at the perfect time.


Get the lowdown on the Best USA Sports Betting Sites and Apps


Since Burnley is mainly playing for pride, expect Arsenal to put constant pressure on Max Weiss, the young goalkeeper making only his second career start for the visitors.

The Plays: Arsenal to win and over 3.5 total goals (-110, bet365) | Saka anytime goalscorer (+105, BetMGM) | Gyokeres anytime goalscorer (-160, FanDuel)


Why Trust New York Post Betting

Mike Turay is a sports journalist and editor who closely follows the NBA, NFL, college sports and UFC. He has demonstrated expertise in both NBA and NFL player prop bets for nearly three years. Mike is also highly knowledgeable about the sportsbook offer landscape, frequently trying and reviewing the latest apps and sites.