Fernando Mendoza may project as close to a sure thing as it gets for the 2026 NFL Draft’s No. 1 overall pick, but the question marks begin thereafter.

Traders looking to invest in the draft on Thursday can use the Kalshi promo code NYPMAX to trade $10 and get $10.

There is no shortage of angles to take in trading on the draft. Kalshi offers a market for specific picks, players, positions and teams.

How to use the Kalshi referral code

Once users have signed up for Kalshi, they can enter the Kalshi promo code NYPMAX, verify their account information and invest a minimum of $10 in trades to qualify for the $10 bonus.

Kalshi has become the go-to prediction market for sports fans and the platform is offering an incentive for new users looking to sign up.

Where is the Kalshi promotion available?

Kalshi operates in the following states and territories: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, Washington DC, West Virginia, Wisconsin and Wyoming.

What our Post expert thinks about the 2026 NFL Draft

The No. 1 overall pick market has $1.8 million in volume with Mendoza reflecting a 99 percent chance of getting taken by the Raiders.

But over $2.6 million in volume has been invested in Kalshi’s market for the No. 2 overall pick — owned by the Jets — which projects to be between Arvell Reese and David Bailey.

This market has swung wildly over the past 24 hours on Kalshi. Reese held a 62 percent edge Tuesday afternoon before Bailey surged ahead to 52 percent by the evening, and the lead kept flipping — Reese jumped back to 55.6 percent by midday Wednesday, Bailey briefly reclaimed the top spot, and by late afternoon Reese was back in front yet again.

---

Must be 18 years or older and have a legal, U.S. residential address within the applicable state, D.C., or U.S. territories. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, NV and OH.

---

Why Trust New York Post Betting

Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk.