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Non-whites set to become majority in US for first time by 2050 -- with NY, NJ and Conn. reflecting same change
Anthony Blai · 2026-05-27 · via New York Post

Non-whites are set to become the majority for the first time in the US by 2050, a situation mirrored in up to 16 states — including New York, New Jersey and Connecticut, according to new census data.

The expected transformation reflects astonishing demographic changes projected to sweep across America by between 2040 and 2050, fueled by international and internal migration, as well as falling birthrates, the US Census Bureau figures show.

In 1980, the US was 80% white, but that figure is expected to drop to 47% by 2050 and 44% by 2060.

Pedestrians walk along 8th Avenue and 43rd Street in Midtown Manhattan, with various signs for businesses like Five Below, Smashburger, and Chick-fil-A visible.

New York is among 16 states expected to have a non-white majority population — most for the first time — by 2050. Stephen Yang for NY Post

At the state level, some of the shifts are even more striking.

In 2000, just three states — California, Hawaii and New Mexico — had less than a 50% white population.

Hawaii has never had a majority white population, while in the 2000 US Census, the white population was 46% in California and 45% in New Mexico.

Commuters cross the street near Herald Square in Manhattan, with a USPS truck and yellow taxi visible.

The Empire State will be 46% white by 2050, according to the latest census projections. Stephen Yang for NY Post

Then by 2020, according to the most recent census, the white population in Maryland also had dropped to 47%, 46% in Nevada and 40% in Texas.

Now the next two decades are set to see further drastic demographic shifts.

By 2050, an additional 10 US states are forecast to see white people become a minority.

A shopper carries a Zara bag along the Magnificent Mile in Chicago.

Illinois is set to be 49% white by 2050. Bloomberg via Getty Images

They include New York, where the white population will drop to 46%, New Jersey at 37%, Connecticut, 45%, Delaware, 47%, Florida, 39%, Georgia, 37%, Arizona, 43%, Illinois, 49%, Oklahoma, 49%, and Washington, 49%.

The forecast trends are set to continue, too, with white people becoming a minority or close to a minority in a total of 24 states by 2060.

Some of those shifts involve Alaska, where white people will drop to 50% of the population by 2060, Louisiana at 51%, Massachusetts, 46%, Minnesota, 51%, Mississippi, 51%, North Carolina ,49%, Rhode Island, 47%, and Virginia, 47%.

Commuters walk up and down stairs at the Roosevelt Avenue Jackson Heights subway station in Queens, N.Y.

Between 2040 and 2050, the percentage of non-white people is expected to overtake the number of white people for the first time in the US. James Keivom for NY Post

Aerial view of downtown New Haven and Wooster Square.

Connecticut also is projected to a non-white majority population for the first time in the next two decades. Connecticut Public Broadcasting via Getty Images

The data reflect the staggering changes that have taken place across the US since 1980.

The least ethnically diverse state in the US is West Virginia, where 89% of the population was white in 2020. By 2050, that figure is set to only decrease marginally to 86%.

This is how many states look set to change in the next few decades:

Alaska

2020: 58%. 2030: 57% 2040: 54%. 2050: 52%. 2060: 50%

Arizona

2020: 53%. 2030: 51%. 2040: 47%. 2050: 43%. 2060: 39%

California

2020: 35%. 2030: 31%. 2040: 27%. 2050: 23%. 2060: 20%

Connecticut

2020: 63%. 2030: 57%. 2040: 51%. 2050: 45%. 2060: 39%

Delaware

2020: 59%. 2030: 55%. 2040: 51%. 2050: 47%. 2060: 44%

Florida

2020: 52%. 2030: 47%. 2040: 43%. 2050: 39%. 2060: 36%

Georgia

2020: 50%. 2030: 45%. 2040: 41%. 2050: 37%. 2060: 33%

Hawaii

2020: 22%. 2030: 29%. 2040: 28%. 2050: 27%. 2060: 25%

Illinois

2020: 58%. 2030: 57%. 2040: 53%. 2050: 49%. 2060: 45%

Louisiana

2020: 56%. 2030: 56%. 2040: 54%. 2050: 53%. 2060: 51%

Maryland

2020: 47%. 2030: 42%. 2040: 36%. 2050: 31%. 2060: 26%

Massachusetts

2020: 68%. 2030: 63%. 2040: 57%. 2050: 51%. 2060: 46%

Minnesota

2020: 76%. 2030: 71%. 2040: 65%. 2050: 58%. 2060: 51%

Mississippi

2020: 55%. 2030: 55%. 2040: 53%. 2050: 52%. 2060: 51%

Nevada

2020: 46%. 2030: 40%. 2040: 34%. 2050: 28%. 2060: 23%

New Jersey

2020: 52%. 2030: 47%. 2040: 42%. 2050: 37%. 2060: 32%

New Mexico

2020: 37%. 2030: 34%. 2040: 31%. 2050: 28%. 2060: 26%

New York

2020: 52%. 2030: 52%. 2040: 49%. 2050: 46%. 2060: 43%

North Carolina

2020: 60%. 2030: 59%. 2040: 56%. 2050: 53%. 2060: 49%

Oklahoma

2020: 61%. 2030: 59%. 2040: 54%. 2050: 49% 2060: 44%

Rhode Island

2020: 69%. 2030: 64%. 2040: 58%. 2050: 53%. 2060: 47%

Texas

2020: 40%. 2030:35%. 2040: 31%. 2050: 27%. 2060: 23%

Virginia

2020: 59%. 2030: 57%. 2040: 54%. 2050: 50%. 2060: 47%

Washington

2020: 64%. 2030: 60%. 2040: 55%. 2050: 49%. 2060: 44%