The bookmakers at DraftKings Sportsbook have established France and Spain as +500 co-favorites to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, but they have plenty of company atop the odds.
France has been to the finals in the past two World Cups, defeating Croatia at Russia 2018 and then falling to Lionel Messi and Argentina in Qatar 2022. This will be Didier Deschamps’ third World Cup and sixth major tournament in charge of Les Bleus.
Spain hasn’t lifted the Jules Rimet Trophy since 2010, but they won Euro 2024 with an ascendant squad, much of which is expected to return for the upcoming World Cup. La Furia Roja’s talisman, Lamine Yamal, is the second favorite to win the Golden Ball (tournament MVP) behind England’s Harry Kane.
Kalshi, one of the world’s leading prediction markets, has France slightly ahead of Spain. Les Bleus currently boast an 18.3 percent chance to lift the trophy, while Spain is right behind them at 16.6 percent. Splitting hairs.
No matter where you’re betting or trading, the sentiment is clear. France and Spain are the teams to beat, but there are several contenders right on their heels, starting with England.
It’s been 60 years since England won its only World Cup (and major trophy), but they’ll head across the pond with one of their best rosters ever in Thomas Tuchel’s first tournament as manager, so anything short of a deep run will be a massive disappointment for the Euro 2024 runners-up.
Kane, England’s captain, is the favorite to win the Golden Ball and the second favorite to win the Golden Boot (most goals) behind Kylian Mbappé of France.
Brazil, which was the consensus favorite ahead of Qatar 2022, and Messi’s Argentina, the defending champions, are the only other teams with single-digit odds at DraftKings.
Brazil, which hasn’t lifted the trophy since 2002, has not gone into a World Cup with odds this long in at least 44 years. The only other time they were close to their current +800 price was in 2002, when they entered the tournament at +600.
Argentina won the tournament as a +550 second favorite four years ago.
Portugal is next up at 11/1. Aided by a tremendous draw that put them in a group with DR Congo, Uzbekistan, and Colombia, Os Navegadores will look to win its first World Cup in Cristiano Ronaldo’s swan song. The 40-year-old striker is one of several generational superstars, along with Messi and Luka Modric, taking their final lap this summer.
The only other country shorter than 20/1 is Germany at 14/1. Die Mannschaft has struggled on the international stage since winning the 2014 World Cup, bowing out in the group stage in the past two iterations of the tournament.
Italy is the only country to win the World Cup with double-digit odds since 1982. The Azzurri were 18/1 when they took home top honors at Spain 1982, and they were 11/1 when they lifted the trophy in 2006.
After Germany, we get into dark horse territory with the Netherlands (20/1), Norway (30/1), Belgium (35/1), and Colombia (40/1).
Of that cohort, Norway’s price sticks out like a sore thumb. This is the first time the Norwegians have qualified for the World Cup since 1998, but they have plenty of betting support thanks to the presence of Erling Haaland and his supporting castmates Oscar Bobb and Antonio Nusa. Norway did get a poor draw, landing in Group I with France, Senegal and Iraq.
Japan, which has seen its price get cut in half from 100/1 to 50/1 over the past few months, is another long shot getting love from the wiseguys.
The United States will enter the 2026 World Cup with its shortest odds ever, but the Stars & Stripes are still an outsider at 60/1, and they’re a lukewarm favorite to top Group D ahead of Turkey, Paraguay, and Australia.
With the expanded 48-team field, there are a handful of outlandish long shots on the board, but Haiti is the biggest price at 2,500/1.
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| France | +500 |
| Spain | +500 |
| England | +650 |
| Brazil | +800 |
| Argentina | +850 |
| Portugal | 11/1 |
| Germany | 14/1 |
| The Netherlands | 20/1 |
| Norway | 30/1 |
| Belgium | 35/1 |
| Colombia | 40/1 |
| Morocco | 50/1 |
| Japan | 50/1 |
| USA | 60/1 |
| Uruguay | 65/1 |
| Mexico | 75/1 |
| Switzerland | 80/1 |
| Croatia | 80/1 |
| Ecuador | 90/1 |
| Turkiye | 100/1 |
| Sweden | 100/1 |
| Senegal | 110/1 |
| Paraguay | 150/1 |
| Austria | 150/1 |
| Scotland | 200/1 |
| Canada | 200/1 |
| Bosnia | 250/1 |
| Czechia | 250/1 |
| Ivory Coast | 250/1 |
| Ghana | 300/1 |
| Egypt | 300/1 |
| Algeria | 350/1 |
| South Korea | 450/1 |
| Tunisia | 500/1 |
| Australia | 500/1 |
| Iran | 500/1 |
| DR Congo | 700/1 |
| South Africa | 800/1 |
| Uzbekistan | 1000/1 |
| Cape Verde | 1000/1 |
| Saudi Arabia | 1000/1 |
| Qatar | 1000/1 |
| Panama | 1000/1 |
| New Zealand | 1000/1 |
| Iraq | 1000/1 |
| Curacao | 2000/1 |
| Jordan | 2000/1 |
| Haiti | 2500/1 |
Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
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