惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

D
Docker
F
Fortinet All Blogs
爱范儿
爱范儿
博客园 - Franky
MyScale Blog
MyScale Blog
罗磊的独立博客
博客园 - 三生石上(FineUI控件)
B
Blog
P
Proofpoint News Feed
IT之家
IT之家
宝玉的分享
宝玉的分享
D
DataBreaches.Net
S
SegmentFault 最新的问题
Microsoft Azure Blog
Microsoft Azure Blog
GbyAI
GbyAI
M
MIT News - Artificial intelligence
L
LangChain Blog
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
月光博客
月光博客
雷峰网
雷峰网
Stack Overflow Blog
Stack Overflow Blog
量子位
V
V2EX
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻

New York Post

Federal officials order flight cuts at Chicago O’Hare to reduce airport delays Minnesota dad who shoved Turning Point USA journalist at anti-ICE protest says family is 'absolutely not violent' Former adult film star Asia Carrera makes career turn after passing Texas bar exam to become attorney Boy, 13, stabbed with large knife during suspected dispute near NYC park Over 200 swarm Atlanta intersection in illegal street takeover roaring with cars racing and doing donuts Yankees' Aaron Boone blasts 'overly sensitive' umpires after first ejection of season Stream It Or Skip It: 'Fake Profile' Season 3 On Netflix, Another Crazy Season Of The Steamy Colombian Thriller Eastbound 105 Freeway reopens hours after man shot as mystery deepens around what happened Tony Bradley believes Hawks need to hit Knicks 'in the mouth first' A quiet change at a Sacramento school is raising concerns among parents Washington state teacher flashed topless pics to class full of students during PowerPoint presentation Knicks looking to push NBA-best clutch success to its limit in playoffs Stream It Or Skip It: 'Beef' Season 2 On Netflix, Where A Young Couple Take On Their Boss And His Wife When They Witness A Vicious Argument Footage shows D4vd arrested surrounded by gun-wielding cops Acting ICE Director Todd Lyons resigns after 20 years with agency -- will stay on for transition 'Proof' review: Ayo Edebiri and Don Cheadle star in underpowered Broadway revival Federal authorities issue warning after multiple drone sightings above Coors Field Ohio State dominant school at receiver with latest star set for NFL draft 'The Pitt' Season 2 Ending Explained: Does Baby Jane Doe Save Dr. Robby? SoCal man's bittersweet reunion with stolen 1969 Camaro caught on camera Dem rising star boasts about Fed experience -- but record tells different story Luka Doncic spotted in Europe at Real Madrid basketball game with tennis superstar Pregnant Aubrey Plaza flaunts her baby bump in floral minidress at NYC screening ‘The Pitt’ Season 2 Episode 15 Recap: 100 Percent F**ked Up (Season 2 Finale) ‘Shahs of Sunset’ star Mercedes ‘MJ’ Javid reveals how she found a fresh start amid divorce Deonte Banks gets Giants 'clean slate' at critical point in his NFL career Mets can't hide behind the numbers — they're feeling the pressure Tiffany & Co. Blue Book 2026 launch: Mariah Carey, Naomi Watts, Teyana Taylor and more Hannah Einbinder Couldn't Stop Bawling While Jesse McCartney Was On Set Filming 'Hacks' Episode 2: "I Cried Every Single Take" The PGA Tour reunions that must happen with LIV Golf on life support
America's most volatile fault line overdue for earthquake...
Ben Cost · 2026-04-29 · via New York Post
Golden Gate Bridge.
The Hayward Fault Line is overdue for an earthquake, potentially threatening millions of people in the Bay Area. Javier brosch - stock.adobe.com

This has scientists quaking in their boots.

Researchers have found that one of the US’s most dangerous fault lines is overdue for an earthquake, potentially threatening millions of people across California, per an alarming study in the journal Seismological Research Letters.

This terrifying tremor could “cause extensive damage to such a dense population zone,” wrote the team from the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), in a statement.

Damaged structures around body of water.

The aftermath of the Loma Prieta Earthquake that rocked San Francisco in 1989. John Nakata – stock.adobe.com

Part of the massive San Andreas Fault Line, the Hayward Fault Line extends 74 miles through major Bay Area hubs, including Berkeley, Oakland and Fremont, an area that’s collectively home to around 8 million people.

This fault is of particular concern as it regularly generates magnitude 7 Earthquakes — more powerful than the 1989 Loma Prieta quake that killed 63 people and injured 3,757 in the Bay Area.

If one of these earthquakes were to occur today, it could potentially kill 800 people and injure up to 18,000, per a previous US Geological Survey report called the “HayWired Scenario.”

While the last event to occur was in 1868, scientists have calculated that Hayward ruptures every 95 to 183 years, meaning we’re overdue for a seismic event.

According to the U.S. Geological Survey, Hayward has a 14.3% chance of a 6.7 magnitude or larger seismic event by 2034 and a 33% chance before 2043, making Hayward one of the most hazardous fault lines in the region.

“This fault is what we sort of call a tectonic time bomb,” USGS earthquake geologist emeritus David Schwartz told the Los Angeles Times in 2018. “It’s just waiting to go off.”

To analyze just how dangerous this tremor factory is, the researchers used 3D simulations to examine 50 magnitude-7 simulations along the Hayward Fault, providing Californians insight into how they should prepare.

“We are interested in learning what the ground motion for a typical magnitude-7 earthquake in the Bay Area could be, so that we can work with engineers to make sure that the infrastructure and buildings in the Bay Area can withstand this motion,” said author and LLNL scientist Arben Pitarka.

Simulations.

Ground motion simulation of a magnitude-7 earthquake along the Hayward Fault Line. This terrifying tremor could “cause extensive damage to such a dense population zone,” wrote the team from the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), in a statement. Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

The team, which was helming the project for the Department of Energy, focused on two key models: a simulation of how seismic waves are created during the earthquake rupture and broadcast seismic vibrations through the Earth.

“These large-scale simulations allow us to reduce the uncertainty in ground motion estimates” that are associated with the oft-unpredictable earthquake rupture phenomenon, per Pitarka. The models also allowed the team to pinpoint areas vulnerable to “very strong shaking” in the San Francisco Bay Area.

These models revealed that the shaking generated during of these simulated tremors could be up to 50 percent more powerful than prior forecasts for nearby population centers. Affected hubs included Livermore, Oakland, Berkeley, Hayward, San Leandro, Emeryville and Alameda.

Map with lines.

A map showing the major fault lines in the Bay Area. Peter Hermes Furian – stock.adobe.com

Caused by the pulse-like nature of the ground motion, which concentrates the seismic energy like a lens, this preternaturally violent shaking poses an outsized threat to tall or flexible buildings.

Per the current would also potentially impact the deep “basin” areas in California, which would likely trap and magnify an Earthquakes waves, upping the length and power of the reverberations.

Affected areas include Livermore Basin, the East Bay Hills, and Bay Mud, a low-lying area situated on the shore of San Francisco Bay.

The USGS predicted in 2018 that the disaster could potentially also cause 400 fires that could destroy 50,000 homes and displace nearly half a million people.

Thankfully, by painting a picture of the threat, these simulations allow city officials to plan accordingly.

“With that information, we can also start preparations for retrofitting some of the vulnerable structures,” said Pitarka.

The team plans to use the same simulations to analyze the neighboring San Andreas, the epicenter for some of California’s most devastating earthquakes, such as the 1906 San Francisco event that killed more than 3,000 people.