The Cup Series hits the streets of San Diego. Naval Base Coronado hosts a brand-new street circuit. Nobody has raced here, so the DFS board is wide open.

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NASCAR Best Bets for the Great American Getaway 400

Race Winner — Shane Van Gisbergen -160

Get it now before it’s too late. The odds are only going to get shorter. SVG is more than a favorite in this event. The Trackhouse Racing road course superstar is inevitable. The -160 win odds translate to a 62% chance of winning. That number is too low for a former Repco Supercars champ at any road course, let alone the first time the Cup Series races on the streets of San Diego.

The evidence is overwhelming. In 14 Gen-7 road course races, SVG has seven wins, nine top-5 finishes and 12 top-10 finishes. As Dale Earnhardt Jr. explained on his podcast after Watkins Glen, SVG can do things with the car that a traditional Cup Series driver cannot. Dale Jr. was so impressed by SVG’s SMT data that he declared no one will ever beat the Kiwi on a road course.

Race Winner — Ross Chastain +4000

Betting against SVG is dumb. The street course on Naval Base Coronado (San Diego) is novel. It’s the Cup Series drivers’ first time on this race track. Their only experience is iRacing. The driver who figures it out the quickest will be the winner. Van Gisbergen hasn’t laid down a lap and has likely already found the speed. And the speed likely requires fancy footwork — a skilled dance between the throttle, brake and clutch. No one is beating SVG.

Why pick Chastain? Wrecks can happen. It’s the only justification for betting against SVG. If SVG wrecks, Connor Zilisch likely steps in as presumed winner. If Con-Zilla fails to level the streets of San Diego, it could be the Trackhouse third wheel — former COTA winner Ross Chastain.

Race Winner — Corey Heim +9000

It will take an act of God to keep Van Gisbergen off the top spot of the podium in San Diego. If there is an act of God, then it would make sense to chase long odds. From 2023 to 2025, Heim won five straight road course races. The 23XI Racing prospect has a total of eight races of experience on road courses. They were all new to him, but that didn’t slow him down. The novelty of the Navy base is nothing new for Corey Heim. The rising Toyota star has another advantage: he’s not racing for points. The Cup Series standings are no longer heavily influenced by wins. Points matter. Full-time teams will chase points. Heim is part time. His strategy will focus on winning.