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The New York Knicks made history in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference first round, racing out to a 60-point lead early in the second half and ultimately thrashing the Atlanta Hawks, 140-89. Then, on Monday, they started the second round in scantly more competitive fashion, throttling the Philadelphia 76ers, 137-98.
The Knicks will attempt to take a 2-0 lead in the second round for the second consecutive season when they host the 76ers in Game 2 tonight at 7:10 p.m. ET. Philadelphia will be without center Joel Embiid (ankle/hip).
New York is a 10.5-point favorite at DraftKings Sportsbook (-425 on the Moneyline), with the point total set to 213.5. The 76ers are +330 on the Moneyline.
For the playoffs, DraftKings is running a 30% Same-Game Parlay Profit Boost on SGP’s of at least four legs with at least +300 odds. Below, I’ve laid out my favorite qualifying SGP for you to consider.
Perhaps this is being a prisoner to the moment, but given how incredible this Knicks offense has been over the last few games, it’s hard to see this game being a low-scoring one. New York has dropped at least 126 points in three consecutive games, and while its incredible shooting — 59.7% from the field and 43.4% from beyond the arc over that span — is likely to regress at some point, it’s been getting high-quality looks, attempting the most shots within five feet. Plus, Philadelphia’s defense just isn’t great, ranking 14th in defensive rating among the 16 teams that ultimately qualified for the playoffs, and it has a solid offense, with Tyrese Maxey averaging 25.1 points per game and Paul George shooting 56.5% from deep so far these playoffs. Embiid has made more of an impact on the 76ers’ defense than its offense so far these playoffs, as their offense has been 0.1 points per 100 possessions more efficient without than with him these playoffs and their defense 5.4 points per 100 possessions worse. The over has hit in three of Philadelphia’s last five games and four of the Knicks’.
Towns isn’t typically known for his playmaking, as shooting and rebounding are his primary calling cards. However, he’s flashed his passing chops with regularity these playoffs, dropping two triple-doubles in the first round and dishing out at least six assists in four straight games. He only had five-plus assists 13 times in the regular season, but New York was 11-2 when he did, so Mike Brown has clearly deduced that it’s a winning strategy. Across the last four games, Towns actually leads the Knicks in potential assists per game (8.3) and ranks second behind only Jalen Brunson in passes per game. Plus, the 76ers have gotten lost in the passing lines, ranking 22nd in opponent assists per game during the regular season and fourth-to-last so far these playoffs. During the regular season, Philadelphia guarded him predominantly with Adem Bona, and in 49.1 partial possessions, Towns scored 20 points and notched three assists.
Maxey and Edgecombe should both see a jump in usage with Embiid out, but Maxey has the more difficult matchup. In Game 1, New York defended Maxey primarily with Mikal Bridges and Deuce McBride, who rank in the 74th and 68th percentiles, respectively, in points saved per 100 possessions, while it put Josh Hart (42nd) on Edgecombe. Plus, Edgecombe should have more possessions against Jalen Brunson, the Knicks’ only truly bad defender. He attempted at least 16 shots in each of the three playoff games that Embiid has missed thus far, and of the 38 regular season games in which Edgecombe reached 15 points, 22 came without Embiid in the lineup. He scored at least 14 points in each of his regular season games against New York, including a 23-point effort and a 26-point effort.
Brunson was absolutely on fire in Game 1, cashing this prop by halftime after a 27-point first half on 10-for-14 shooting (three-for-six from beyond the arc). All in all, he’s had at least three three-pointers these playoffs, making 39.5% of his treys overall, and he made at least three 35 times in 74 regular season games. Meanwhile, the 76ers haven’t done a great job closing out on opposing shooters these playoffs, giving up 2.0 more wide-open threes per game than any other team, and while part of that is a result of the Boston Celtics’ playing style, they still allowed New York to attempt 17 in Game 1, slightly more than its regular season average. They’ve also guarded him primarily with Edgecombe, who ranked in just the 52nd percentile in total contests per 100 possessions. Brunson is more than capable of taking advantage of easy looks, given that he ranked a solid 39th in three-point percentage over expectation during the regular season.
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