After seven afternoon games, Major League Baseball has seven more games under the lights for Saturday night’s main DFS slate on Saturday night, with contests beginning at 7:15 p.m. ET. It’s a busy night of action that seems to be tilted a little towards the offense with some suspect pitchers and hitter-friendly environments on the board. As you pinpoint your high-salary stars to build around, you may need to dive into the bargain bin and find a few MLB DFS Value Picks. In this post, we’ll look at three of my top MLB DFS Value Picks, who each bring excellent upside at a bargain salary.
Let’s dive in and take a closer look at these options, who come with low salaries but high ceilings this Saturday in my MLB DFS Value picks.
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Although I’d love to go with a cheaper option from the probable pitchers for Saturday night, they all come with too many risk factors. Hancock himself isn’t exactly a lock since he’s coming off a shaky outing, but he brings a high enough ceiling to still be worth considering as one of Saturday’s MLB DFS value picks.
Hancock is averaging a solid 17.2 FPTS per start overall this season and has been even better at home, where he has an average of 21.1 FPTS per start. He has 48 strikeouts in his 40 home innings and has 22.3 FPTS in his most recent home outing against the Mets. He was roughed up by the Nationals in Washington and posted -4.4 FPTS in his last start, but he should be able to bounce back with a much better performance on Saturday against the visiting Red Sox.
The Red Sox had a solid offensive game on Friday, but have still scored the second-fewest runs in the majors this year while also hitting the second-fewest home runs. Hancock at home should be able to keep them in check on Saturday night. He has a high strikeout ceiling, which he showed with a career-high 14 punchouts at home against the Royals in a game that netted him 38.2 FPTS. That’s a best-case scenario for his Saturday night matchup, but his overall range of outcomes is solid at this salary.
Lewis was sent to Triple-A earlier this season in a move that made it look like the Twins were moving on from him as a big part of their future. However, the 27-year-old former top prospect thrived in Triple-A and seems to have re-discovered his swing. He came back to the team in early June and is hitting .302 over his last 11 games with four homers, two doubles, a .326 ISO, and a .406 wOBA.
Over his last 10 games, Lewis has produced 10.9 FPTS per game, and he kept his roll going with a homer in the series-opening loss to the Diamondbacks on Friday night. Lewis has at least nine FPTS in five of his last seven games and brings a high ceiling in a favorable matchup against Zac Gallen ($6,000). Lewis’s salary has been slow to adjust to his recent surge, so take advantage of his affordable price tag Saturday night.
He hasn’t shown it yet in the majors, but Watson is an elite talent who comes with a high ceiling of his own. The 23-year-old lefty is the No. 12 prospect in the organization, according to MLB Pipeline. He is still in search of his first MLB hit after six at-bats with four strikeouts, but his Triple-A numbers show a very intriguing mix of power and speed that make him a solid punt play in the outfield if you need to save salary in one spot to stuff stars in the rest of your slots.
Watson hit 12 home runs and stole 14 bases while posting a .255/.370/.491 slash line with the Columbus Clippers in Triple-A this season. His 14.9% walk rate and 28% strikeout rate across 254 plate appearances indicate good plate discipline despite his shaky start to his MLB career. With Jose Ramirez (hand), Angel Martinez (foot) and Chase DeLauter (rib) all on the sidelines, Watson will continue to get plenty of opportunities to shine over the next few weeks. The dual-threat prospect brings good upside in Houston against Astros righty Spencer Arrighetti ($9,200).
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