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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles prediction, pick for Thursday 5/28/26
Cooper Albers · 2026-05-29 · via DraftKings Network

Cooper Albers previews Thursday’s MLB series opener between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

American League East rivals kick off a four-game series Thursday night, as the Toronto Blue Jays visit the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

The Blue Jays (27–29, 3rd AL East) are 13–12 since the beginning of May and have won eight of their last 12 games,  now coming off a series victory at home against the Marlins. The Orioles (26–30, 4th AL East) have gone 11–14 this month and are 5–1 amid this home stand, capped by a series sweep of the league-best Rays. 

Looking at the pitching probables, we’ve got Toronto southpaw Patrick Corbin (2–1, 3.86 ERA) taking on Baltimore righty Chris Bassitt (4–3, 5.51 ERA).

First pitch is at 6:35 p.m. ET. The Orioles enter as 1.5-run home favorites with -131 moneyline odds on DraftKings Sportsbook. The Blue Jays are +109 underdogs, with the game total set at O/U 8.5 runs.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Preview

Toronto Blue Jays

Following the franchise’s shortest offseason in over three decades, the Blue Jays started 2026 dreadfully sluggish. But the reigning American League champs are slowly getting back on track, winning eight of their last 12 games and flashing steady growth over the last month. 

Since the beginning of May, Toronto’s injury-plagued offense has clawed out of MLB’s bottom 10 — sitting 19th league-wide in wRC+ and wOBA, fueled by the surging Brandon Valenzuela and Jesus Sanchez. Meanwhile, the pitching staff has continued making strides. The starting unit, in particular, owns the fifth-lowest ERA in baseball this month at a minuscule 3.18.

The Blue Jays will look to keep the momentum rolling Thursday night, with Patrick Corbin taking the hill. The veteran southpaw, 36, enters with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP through nine starts (44.1 IP) this season, though his underlying metrics raise a few red flags. With low strikeout numbers and a swollen hard-hit rate, Corbin ranks in MLB’s bottom 14 percent with a 5.40 xERA. He has also allowed a .949 OPS to Baltimore’s hitters in his career. Still, Corbin is coming off six innings of one-run ball with seven K’s in a win over the Pirates.

Baltimore Orioles

Baltimore entered 2026 with serious promise, bolstering an already promising lineup with an All-Star slugger in Pete Alonso. But after some 50 games into the season, it’s clear that the Orioles still have a long way to go. 

While the club has won five of its last six and is coming off a series sweep of the AL-best Rays, they rank in MLB’s bottom half in both wRC+ (16th) and wOBA (17th) since the beginning of May. But their main problem isn’t scoring runs — it’s preventing them. With a thin starting unit and an injury-riddled bullpen, Baltimore’s already brutal 4.80 ERA in 2026 has ballooned to 5.29 this month, third-worst in the sport. 

The O’s will look to stem the tide with Chris Bassitt on the bump. The veteran right-hander, 37, owns a 5.51 ERA (4.86 xERA) and a 1.67 WHIP in 10 appearances (eight starts) this season. While Bassitt has mitigated loud contact, he has struggled to generate swings and misses and ranks in MLB’s bottom 10 percent with a 15.3% strikeout rate. Toronto’s lineup owns a collective .753 OPS against him. Most recently, Bassitt surrendered three earned runs over 4.1 frames against the Tigers.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Pick, Best Bet

Thursday’s AL East clash features a pitching matchup between a struggling starter and one who may be trending in the same direction. Baltimore hitters have historically crushed Corbin, and Toronto’s high-contact approach could spell trouble for Bassitt. Expect a high-scoring affair at the hitter-friendly Oriole Park at Camden Yards. 

Best Bet: Over 8.5 Runs (-115)