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NBA Best Bets: Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Top Prop Bets for ...
Sean Barnard · 2026-04-25 · via DraftKings Network

Sean Barnard breaks down his top player prop picks for Friday’s NBA playoff matchup between the Portland Trail Blazers and San Antonio Spurs.

The Portland. Trail Blazers and San Antonio Spurs play a pivotal Game 3 with Victor Wembanyama’s status in question. He suffered a concussion in Game 2 and is questionable ahead of tonight’s contest.

The Spurs are 3.5-point favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook. The Trail Blazers are +124 underdogs, with the game total set at 219.5

You can check out a full preview and prediction for the matchup on DraftKings Network. But for now, let’s dive into the top player prop bets for Game 3.

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Best Prop Bets

De’Aaron Fox Over 20.5 Points (-103)

While his nine NBA playoff games don’t jump off the page, De’Aaron Fox’s veteran leadership is essential on this youthful Spurs roster. He will also need to scale up his offensive role if Wembanyama is sidelined or limited.

Fox averaged 18.6 points, 6.2 assists and 3.8 rebounds this season. Naturally, his scoring and usage decreased (16.5 ppg) in the 54 games with Wembanyama, and increased (24.6 ppg) in the 18 games without Wembanyama. He scored 20 or more points in 15 of the 18 games played without his co-star.

Fox had 17 points in Games 1 and 2, but had 25, 19 and 37 across three regular season games with Portland. The Trail Blazers are an average defensive team, ranking 16th in opponents’ points allowed, 14th in defensive rating, 16th in opponents’ field goal percentage, and 15th in opponents’ three-point percentage. Even if Wembanyama is available to play, I expect Fox to take scale up his offensive production in Game 3.

Deni Avdija Over 31.5 Points & Rebounds (-106)

Deni Avdija earned earned his first All-Star nod and became a foundational piece of the Trail Blazers’ future, averaging 24.2 points, 6.9 rebounds and 6.7 assists per game this season. Among Avdija’s best qualities is his ability to get downhill and attack the rim. This, however, is challenging against Wembanyama.

Despite Wembanyama active, Avdija totaled 30 points and 10 rebounds in Game 1. If the Defensive Player of the Year is sidelined, Avdija will likely attack the rim more frequently.

Avdija has tallied over 31.5 points + rebounds in 30 of 66 regular season games, including all three matchups with San Antonio. Dating back to the regular season, Avdija has scored at least 25 points in eight of his last nine games. Brush off the poor Game 2 performance and expect Avdija to bounce back in Game 3 at home.

Stephon Castle Over 6.5 Rebounds (+106)

Wembanyama and Fox deserve the attention, but it’s Stephon Castle that glues the team together. He averaged 16.7 points, 7.4 assists and 5.3 rebounds per game in addition to excellent defense in the regular season. Castle always impacts the game, regardless if he’s scoring. If Wembanyama is out, Castle will likely be a beneficiary on the glass.

Castle grabbed seven boards in Games 1 and 2 despite the Trail Blazers being a strong rebounding team. Portland ranks sixth in rebounds per game and 11th in opponents rebounds allowed. The problem is that Portland struggles to limit offensive rebounds, ranking 26th in opponents offensive rebounds per game.