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MLB Best Bets: Top NRFI props for Tuesday 5/12/26
Bryan Armett · 2026-05-12 · via DraftKings Network

Bryan Armetta shares his three favorite MLB NRFI prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for Tuesday’s 15-game slate.

15 games between 30 teams are set for Tuesday across Major League Baseball. For those looking to cash in quickly on a bet, nothing makes more sense than an NRFI. With that being said, there’s more to this one than meets the eye. Some pitchers thrive early, while others take more time to get settled in than others. Which NRFI picks are worth a closer look today?

Ahead of Tuesday’s MLB contests, here are three NRFI bets worth placing on DraftKings Sportsbook.


Rockies vs. Pirates NRFI (-135)

On paper, this might be the most lopsided pitching matchup of the season. Michael Lorenzen, like many who have put on a Rockies uniform, has struggled mightily this season. Through 39.0 innings of work, the veteran has posted a 6.92 ERA, 1.90 WHIP and 26 strikeouts. Safe to say, it’s difficult to see the right-hander pitching a clean inning against anyone. However, he’s been a major victim of Coors Field, baseball’s most hitter-friendly venue. The former All-Star has a 9.64 ERA at home compared to a 4.43 ERA on the road. Even more promising, he has a stellar 82% NRFI rate since 2025. Despite facing an above-average Pittsburgh offense, Lorenzen should escape the first inning unscathed.

For the Pirates, Paul Skenes will be making his ninth start of the season. At this point, it’s safe to say the righty is the National League’s premier hurler. Over 42.0 innings in 2026, he’s accounted for a 2.36 ERA, 0.71 WHIP and 46 strikeouts. On just two of those occasions, he’s failed to allow more than one earned run. Unsurprisingly, the third-year pro has a career 84% NRFI rate. In comparison, the Rockies are a much better hitting team at home. Colorado is averaging 3.95 runs per game on the road, tenth-worst in the majors.

Tigers vs. Mets NRFI (-135)

It’ll be Jack Flaherty toeing the slab this evening for Detroit. Now in his second stint with the franchise, it’s been a difficult first few weeks of the season for the 30-year-old. Over eight starts, he’s on the hook for a 5.56 ERA, 1.65 WHIP and 42 strikeouts. Still, it’s not a stretch to say that the righty is due for some better numbers going forward. What better team to bring the best out of an opposing pitcher than the Mets? New York is averaging just 3.48 runs per game this season, ahead of only the Giants (3.39). To boot, Flaherty has a quality 80% NRFI rate since 2025.

On the other side, it’ll be Freddy Peralta taking the hill. Despite a nightmarish start from the Mets, their newly acquired ace has been great. In eight games, the former Brewers hurler has recorded a 3.12 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 43 strikeouts. Peralta has surrendered two earned runs or less in four of his previous five contests as well. The Dominican tends to start strong, delivering an 85% NRFI rate over the last two seasons. The same can’t be said for his opponents tonight, the Tigers. Detroit’s lineup owns a 21.74% YRFI rate on the road, tenth-worst in the league.

Royals vs. White Sox NRFI (-105)

To wrap things up, we’ll take a stab at an AL Central showdown. If the Royals are able to claw their way back into contention, it’ll likely be due to their pitching. One name that’s flown under the radar for Kansas City is Stephen Kolek. After a brief but promising stint last season, the right-hander missed all of April due to injury. However, he’s now healthy and back in KC’s rotation. During his first appearance of the season last week, against Cleveland, he tossed six innings of three-run ball. Through 20 career starts, Kolek has produced a terrific 80% NRFI rate. Chicago has been on a roll recently, but this lineup isn’t dominant by any means. The White Sox are only scoring 4.0 runs per game at home, seventh-lowest in the majors.

As a counter for Kolek, it’ll be Erick Fedde on the mound for Chicago. The 33-year-old is no ace, but he remains an effective pitcher at the big league level. Over 38.0 innings this season, he’s notched a 3.79 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 24 strikeouts. However, this is just as much about backing Fedde as it is about fading Kansas City. The Royals have a 17.07% YRFI rate, tied for the fourth-worst mark in baseball. To boot, Fedde owns a 2.66 ERA over four career meetings with KC. That includes a five-inning, one-run performance on April 11th.