The WNBA Commissioner’s Cup continues Saturday evening as two of the league’s hottest teams go head-to-head for the first time when the Minnesota Lynx visit the Las Vegas Aces.

Checking out the odds on DraftKings Sportsbook, the Aces are slight 2.5-point favorites at home with -148 odds on the Moneyline. Minnesota has +124 Moneyline odds of picking up the upset, while the total is set at 174.5 points. Let’s take a look at my pick and prediction for this Aces vs. Lynx contest for Saturday night.

Lynx at Aces prediction, pick

Saturday’s game will be the first of the season between Minnesota and Las Vegas, with both playing at the top of their game at the moment. The Lynx continue to stack wins after they got their eighth in a row against Dallas on Tuesday, keeping them atop the WNBA, while the Aces are just a game behind in second after rattling off five straight wins.

Even with last year’s MVP runner-up in Napheesa Collier sidelined, the Lynx have still looked like one of the toughest teams to beat so far this season, losing just two games and remaining perfect on the road with a 5-0 record. Minnesota’s defense is owed plenty of credit for its success as it remains on top of the league by allowing opponents just 78.2 points a game on 37.9% shooting, but its offense is not to be forgotten either.

The Lynx are second in the WNBA averaging 91.1 points a game, but their shooting is first in both field-goal and three-point percentage, averaging 50.2% and 37.9% in each, respectively. Minnesota is getting double-digit production from four of its starters, but it is No. 2 pick Olivia Miles that’s stealing the attention. The Rookie of the Year runaway favorite and potential MVP candidate is leading the team with 17.8 points a game on 53.2% shooting while dishing out 6.3 assists as well.

On the other side of the floor are the Aces, who will be looking to even up the standings at home after coming off their fifth straight win on Thursday. Las Vegas’ offense continues to surge as it put together back-to-back 100-point campaigns, and it remains the focus of the team’s success.

While Minnesota is the number two offense in the WNBA, just ahead of it is Vegas, which averages 91.4 points a game. However, the Aces sit behind the Lynx in shooting, averaging 48.5% and 37.3% in field-goal and three-point percentage, respectively, for second in the league. Though the Aces have plenty of returning scoring from their 2025 Finals winning roster, A’ja Wilson appears on the hunt for her third straight MVP and fifth overall. The center is leading the team with 26.4 points and 9.2 rebounds and is coming off a game in which she scored 32 points for her second straight 30-point outing.

Aces vs. Lynx best bet

My best bet for this first matchup between the Aces and Lynx is on the over 174.5 points. Although the Lynx boast the top defense in the WNBA, they have yet to face an offense of Las Vegas’ strength or a player of Wilson’s caliber. These are also two of the best scoring offenses in the league, and with Vegas only having the eighth-best defense in the league, Minnesota should also be able to score some points and keep this a higher-scoring affair. My lean would be on the Lynx +2.5 with Minnesota 5-0 on the road and owning the better defense, but I’m going with the over on the total for the better bet.

Best Bet: Over 174.5 points