Home runs. Long balls. Bleacher reachers. Whatever you want to call them, people love watching and betting on home run props during baseball games. So much so, we’ve got a whole article dedicated to just that.

Here are my top three home run prop picks on DraftKings Sportsbook for Monday’s slate: Max Muncy, Brandon Lowe and Mike Trout.

Let’s break them down.

Top MLB Home Run Props

Max Muncy 1+ Home Run (+316)

Look, you can certainly make the case that Chris Paddack has been unlucky to begin 2026. In fact, Paddack’s 3.82 xERA is so much better than his 6.38 ERA that it’s almost a little jarring. However, expecting some regression to the mean against the Dodgers is probably a fool’s errand. It’s also not like Paddack isn’t without some obvious warts. Since the beginning of last season, across 182.0 innings of work, the right-hander has surrendered 1.78 opponent home runs per nine. Isolating just this season, Paddack’s conceded a 15th percentile opponent hard hit rate (48.1%). Talk about his BABIP and his K/BB ratio all you’d like, but those are real, tangible issues.

Then there’s the matter of a red-hot Max Muncy. The veteran did miss Sunday’s game against the Cubs due to an illness, but if the slugger is back in the lineup this evening, he’s a prime candidate to go deep. Over his past nine games, Muncy is slashing .452/.541/1.032 with five home runs and a .581 ISO. He’s always destroyed RHPs, and specific to Paddack, who used to call the NL West home, Muncy has a pair of long balls in the duo’s prior meetings. This is a great spot at these odds.

Brandon Lowe 1+ Home Run (+458)

Lowe has been everything the Pirates could have hoped for so far this season. After coming over from Tampa Bay in an offseason trade, Lowe is slashing .247/.340/.572 with a 138 wRC+ in 106 plate appearances. As you would expect, those numbers are significantly better when you only account for Lowe’s matchups with right-handed pitching, as he’s batting .311 with a .377 ISO within the split. In fact, the veteran infielder’s 205 wRC+ versus RHPs is the highest qualified mark in baseball coming into Monday, just narrowly edging out the likes of Yordan Alvarez and Ben Rice. It should be no surprise that Lowe’s .550 expected slugging percentage against righties is easily the best rate on the Pirates.

So, who is the poor RHP that will have to face Lowe this evening? None other that Dustin May. Ironically, May is another pitcher whose ERA estimators suggest he’s been much better than his surface stats, yet that doesn’t change the fact that opposing LHBs have given him nightmares since the start of 2026. The 71 lefties that May has faced have combined for a .391 average and a .625 slugging percentage. Woof.

Mike Trout 1+ Home Run (+413)

While Trout’s production has slowed slightly since hitting five home runs in a single four-game series against the Yankees, the former MVP does have a pair of long balls in his past four contests, including this one on Sunday that juuuuuuust got over the wall at Kauffman:

For the season as a whole, Trout has been incredibly dangerous, entering play on Monday with 100th percentile marks in expected wOBA (.485), expected slugging percentage (.723) and barrel rate (26.0%). He’s going to be quite the matchup for Anthony Kay, who is directly on the heels of allowing eight earned runs to the Diamondbacks his last time out. If you couldn’t tell from his 7.72 xERA, it’s been a tough transition back to the majors for Kay. The former KBO stud has just a sixth percentile strikeout rate (13.0%) and a fourth percentile opponent expected wOBA (.419). Basically, he gets hit a lot and he gets hit hard.