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DraftKings Network

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MLB Best Bets: Top Home Run Props for Thursday 4/16/26
Garion Thorne · 2026-04-16 · via DraftKings Network

Garion Thorne details his top home run props for today’s slate, including bets for Gary Sanchez and Cal Raleigh.

Home runs. Long balls. Bleacher reachers. Whatever you want to call them, people love watching and betting on home run props during baseball games. So much so, we’ve got a whole article dedicated to just that.

Here are my top two home run prop picks on DraftKings Sportsbook for Thursday’s all-day slate: Gary Sanchez and Cal Raleigh.

Let’s break them down.

Top MLB Home Run Props

Gary Sanchez 1+ Home Run (+444)

Is it 2017 again? Because Gary Sanchez suddenly seems like one of the most dangerous backstops in MLB. The 33-year-old has gotten off to a blistering start for the Brewers, with five home runs and a 202 wRC+ in his 38 plate appearances in 2026. None of this is luck, either. Sanchez’s quality of contact has been amazing, as the veteran ranks in the 99th percentile of barrel rate (26.3%) and the 97th percentile of expected wOBA (.434). It’s also not like hitting home runs hasn’t been Sanchez’s No. 1 skill across his lengthy professional career. Sanchez sports a career .239 ISO and he’s averaged a long ball once for every 15.2 at-bats. Not too shabby.

The other key element to backing Sanchez on Thursday? His matchup. The Blue Jays continue to be plagued by injuries at starting pitcher, which means we’ll somehow get Patrick Corbin’s second outing of the season this afternoon. In his first, Corbin faced 21 batters and allowed a pair of home runs and four barrels. Seems about right.

Cal Raleigh 1+ Home Run (+272)

Let’s go with another slugger at the catcher position. Well, the slugger at the catcher position. It’s been an underwhelming beginning to 2026 for Raleigh, but things have slowly been getting better. Over his past 10 games, Raleigh’s cut his strikeout rate down to 23.9%, and with the added batted ball events that’s allowed, he’s managed a pair of home runs and a .200 ISO. That’s much more reminiscent of the form we all saw last season, when Raleigh set the MLB record for long balls by a catcher in a single campaign (60).

Speaking of last year’s form, let’s talk a little Walker Buehler. The veteran RHP has actually been a pleasant surprise for the Padres in the early going, but I can not shake the fact that Buehler pitched to a 5.66 FIP and conceded 1.57 opponent home runs per nine in 2025. Or that he posted a 5.54 FIP and surrendered 1.91 opponent home runs per nine in 2024. Buehler’s velocity continues to drop, and it feels like it’s only a matter of time before the long ball woes begin again. Could Raleigh be the one to kick start those woes on Thursday evening? He is 5-for-6 in his career against Buehler with two doubles and a homer. I’m going to assume both men know those stats, too.