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Toronto Blue Jays at Milwaukee Brewers prediction, pick for Thursday 4/16/26
Garion Thorne · 2026-04-16 · via DraftKings Network

Garion Thorne gives you a preview, prediction and pick for today’s game between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Milwaukee Brewers.

Would it surprise you to know that the Blue Jays haven’t won a series since the opening weekend of the season? It’s true. Toronto swept the Athletics and set a whole bunch of strikeout records in the process. Since then? The Jays are 4-10.

It looked like the team might start a little winning streak on Wednesday, as the Jays led 1-0 against the Brewers heading into the bottom of the eighth, but some serious BABIP unluckiness took down Tyler Rogers, and Milwaukee emerged victorious.

The Brewers truly needed the win just as much as Toronto, as Milwaukee had dropped its last six games heading into yesterday’s action. These are two clubs that were very successful in 2025. The Jays won the American League. The Brewers made the NLCS. However, both could really benefit from picking up the rubber match of this mid-April series on Thursday afternoon.

Which squad will come out on top? Let’s preview this matinee tilt and make a couple picks on the DraftKings Sportsbook.

Blue Jays vs. Brewers prediction, preview

You could not have two more different archetypes of starting pitcher going in this game. On the one side, you’ll find 36-year-old Patrick Corbin. The left-hander was once one of the best pitchers in baseball, but those 2018 and 2019 seasons now seem so, so far away. It’s not been a story of injury derailing a career, either. From 2020 to 2025, Corbin actually proved to be quite durable, throwing exactly 900.0 innings — one of only 11 players to reach that milestone. However, this is a classic quantity versus quality situation. While Corbin was taking the mound every five days, he was doing so in the midst of accumulating a 5.61 xERA, which was the league’s highest qualified mark within that six-year span. It now makes a lot of sense as to why Corbin was available to be signed by the Jays in early April, doesn’t it?

On the other side of the ledger, you’ll find Brandon Sproat. The 25-year-old RHP was one of the key pieces of the Freddy Peralta trade, and entered the season as the No. 90 prospect on MLB Pipeline. If you want to be generous and give the aforementioned Corbin the title of “crafty lefty,” Sproat is your classic young fireballer. Sproat’s only thrown 10.1 innings in 2026 — and he’s generally worked behind an opener — but he’s averaging an eye-popping 96.9 mph with his fastball. That said, like many who fall into the “fireballer” moniker, Sproat’s also struggled a great deal with his command, walking as many opponents (10) and he’s struck out (10). That’s translated into a 10.45 ERA and an 8.09 xERA. Not ideal, yet the talent is undeniable, and the Brewers have such a lengthy track record of success with young arms. Long term? I’m buying Sproat stock.

If this pitching matchup couldn’t be more dissimilar, these teams can at least find some common ground in the fact that their lineups are completely ravaged by injury. The Blue Jays’ star-studded IL includes the likes of George Springer (toe), Addison Barger (ankle), Alejandro Kirk (thumb) and Anthony Santander (shoulder). The Brewers counter with Jackson Chourio (hand), Christian Yelich (groin) and Andrew Vaughn (hand). Is anyone aside from Vladimir Guerrero Jr. physically able to play in this contest? These injury issues are a huge reason why Milwaukee’s struggled so much with left-handed opponents in 2026. The Brewers are hitting a paltry .198 with a 77 wRC+ within the split. Corbin’s not a good southpaw, but his left-handedness might be something to consider when handicapping this tilt.

Blue Jays vs. Brewers pick, best bet

Best Bet: Brewers ML (-126)

While the Brewers have lost six of their past seven games, I’m not going to pass up a chance to bet against Patrick Corbin. There might not be many of those left.

Strong Lean: Gary Sanchez 2+ Total Bases (+173)

In 38 plate appearances, Sanchez has mustered a 99th percentile barrel rate and a 97th percentile expected wOBA. He’s got a .500 ISO. Maybe this won’t last forever, but in an opposite-hand matchup, I’ll take my chances with the red-hot veteran.