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Feels almost blasphemous to say, but on tonight’s nine-game MLB DFS featured slate on DraftKings, the weather to watch is in southern California. I know. It’s shocking stuff. There’s rain in the forecast in Los Angeles and San Francisco, so make sure you’re keeping an eye as we get closer to lock throughout the day.
Now that weather talk is over, let’s dig and find some value picks.
Set your DraftKings MLB DFS lineups here: MLB $225K Bat Flip [$50K to 1st]
The nice thing about this matchup? No matter where the game is being played between the Pirates and the Rangers, you know it’s at one of the best pitcher’s parks in the league.
It’s sort of wild to think about, but did you know that Paul Skenes currently ranks fourth in fWAR among pitchers on his own team? He’s behind Mitch Keller, Braxton Ashcraft and, obviously, Mlodzinski. The 27-year-old has bounced back and forth from Pittsburgh’s bullpen to its rotation in recent years, but he may have finally found a permanent home. Over 20.1 innings in 2026, Mlodzinski is pitching to a 1.77 ERA with a 2.49 FIP. Also, a 51.7% ground ball rate has translated into a 90th percentile opponent barrel rate (1.7%) and not a single home run allowed. At some point, those results will regress a little, yet the fact of the matter is Mlodzinski hasn’t surrendered a run in either of his last two outings. He’s on fire.
Meanwhile, Texas is a middle-of-the-pack offense with top-five marks in swinging strike rate (12.7%) and strikeout rate (24.9%). This is a solid matchup for DFS purposes.
I know. I know…
The question starts to become: How cheap is too cheap for someone with Bichette’s pedigree? Well, at $3,800 on Tuesday, this is the lowest salary that the former All-Star has had all season long. It’s not without warrant. Bichette has been flat-out terrible in New York, struggling to a 54 wRC+ over his first 98 plate appearances with the team — although a 68-point difference in the infielder’s wOBA and expected wOBA point to some unluckiness. Still, Bichette’s a career .292 hitter with a 120 wRC+. He’s locked into the two-spot in the lineup. If you squint, you can see the vision here.
Then there’s the presence of Simeon Woods Richardson ($7,500). Maybe even the Mets can score some runs off a man with a 6.10 ERA and a fifth percentile strikeout rate (12.0%). SWR doesn’t miss bats. He doesn’t suppress launch angle. He doesn’t induce chase outside the zone. He’s just not very good. I’m willing to give Bichette one more chance.
With injuries to Alejandro Kirk (thumb), George Springer (toe) and Addison Barger (ankle), Sanchez has been thrust into a much larger role than most anticipated for the defending AL Champions. However, I think it’s fair to say that Sanchez has excelled in that expanded opportunity. The outfielder might only sport a 95 wRC+ through his 74 plate appearances, but if you check under the hood, the stats will blow you away. Sanchez has always been a Savant darling, but now he’s in possession of a 98th percentile expected batting average (.330), as he’s cut down on what was once a monstrous strikeout rate. It’s not like it’s been at great expense to his power potential, either. Sanchez still sports 86th percentile marks in both expected slugging (.512) and hard hit rate (92.3%).
On Tuesday, Sanchez and the Jays will square-off with Jack Kochanowicz ($7,700). The RHP has pitched to a 5.07 xERA in 2026, and last year, he surrendered a .393 wOBA to opposing LHBs. Sanchez will likely hit cleanup in what should be a solid run producing script for Toronto. That all screams “value” to me.
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