Ryan Wohl details his best bet for Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan at tonight’s UFC Fight Night in Las Vegas.
Published May 16, 2026 4:30 PM EDT

LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - MAY 15: Tuco Tokkos and Ivan Erslan face-off during the official weigh-in for UFC Fight Night at Meta APEX on May 15, 2026 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Ed Mulholland/Zuffa LLC)

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The featured bout of tonight’s UFC Fight Night Pelims is between Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan. Tukkos is coming off a win against Junior Tafa, while Erslan enters this bout on a three-fight losing streak. This card is headlined by Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa.
Check out my best bet for Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan below.
Over 2.5 Rounds (+114)
Erslan is 2-5 in his last seven contests with his latest victory coming against Bogdan Gnidko in KSW in February 2024. Tukkos is 11-5 with nine finishes and is 1-2 in the UFC. In this contest, Tokkos has the height (6’4″ vs. 6’2″) and reach (76″ vs. 72″) advantage over Erslan. Tokkos’ home gym is Kill Cliff FC, and Erslan trains at American Top Team.
On DraftKings Sportsbook, Erslan is the favorite at -166 with Tokkos being a +140 underdog. This fight is -245 to not go the distance. Since both fighters have been inconsistent, it is hard to predict which version of each will show up. Two of Erslan’s last three fights have gone at least three rounds. Also Tokkos previous two bouts have lasted two-plus rounds. You can get over 2.5 rounds at +114 for this fight.
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