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15 games between 30 teams are set for Tuesday across Major League Baseball. For those looking to cash in quickly on a bet, nothing makes more sense than an NRFI. With that being said, there’s more to this one than meets the eye. Some pitchers thrive early, while others take more time to get settled in than others. Which NRFI picks are worth a closer look today?
Ahead of Tuesday’s MLB contests, here are three NRFI bets worth placing on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Parker Messick is the latest pitching phenom to hit the shores of Lake Erie. Through 53.2 innings of work, the southpaw has notched a 2.35 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and 58 strikeouts. As things stand right now, he appears to be Cleveland’s ace. During his brief professional career, the 25-year-old has often came out strong. Messick has given up a first inning run just four times over 16 starts. Tonight, he’ll face a mediocre Tigers offense averaging the fifth-fewest runs per game in baseball (3.96). Detroit has only scored 11 times over its last five contests.
As for the home team, it’ll be underrated arm Keider Montero on the bump. The right-hander is by no means a superstar, but he’s been a reliable presence for the Tigers. In eight outings this season, he’s accounted for a 3.65 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and 31 strikeouts. Even more impressive, Montero has yet to allow a single first inning run this season. In fact, the third-year pro owns a stellar 83% career NRFI rate. At first glance, this doesn’t look like a great matchup for Cleveland’s middling lineup. The Guardians have posted a .689 OPS against righties this season, eighth-worst in the majors.
Pitching has been a major issue for the Orioles all season. With that being said, staff ace Kyle Bradish is beginning to look like his old self. Over his last two appearances, the righty has surrendered just two earned runs (2.08 ERA). During his most recent outing, he held the Yankees scoreless over six one-hit innings of work. Throughout his career, the 29-year-old owns a sparkling 83% NRFI rate. Tuesday’s opponents, the Rays, come into this one with some momentum at the plate. However, Yandy Diaz (.421 batting average) is the only name on Tampa Bay’s roster with a batting average above .200 against Bradish.
On the other side, it’ll be Griffin Jax making his fifth start of the season. The 31-year-old’s conversion from reliever to opener has proven successful. During his last 14.0 innings of work, the former Twins hurler has only given up two earned runs (1.29 ERA). To boot, Jax hasn’t allowed a first inning run in 18 of his 20 lifetime starts (90% NRFI). Baltimore’s offense, despite rostering some big names, hasn’t been great by any means. The Orioles have delivered a 16.67% NRFI rate, ahead of only the Red Sox (12.77%) this season.
San Francisco, if nothing else, knows how to find decent starting pitching. Landen Roupp has been a bright spot in the rotation this season for the struggling Giants. Through 49.0 innings of work, the right-hander has recorded a 3.49 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 58 strikeouts. To boot, he’s allowed one earned run or fewer in five of his nine outings. It’s not as if the Diamondbacks have been that impressive on offense. Arizona has posted a below-average 95 wRC+ at the plate. In comparison, Roupp has notched a 77% NRFI rate over the past two seasons.
Ryne Nelson will toe the slab for the Snakes in this one. Following 2025’s breakout campaign (3.39 ERA, 1.07 WHIP), the right-hander struggled mightily to start this season. Fortunately, it looks like he’s beginning to find his groove. Nelson has allowed only five earned runs over his last 19.1 innings pitched (2.33 ERA). Even more important, he’s posted an 81% NRFI rate over the past two seasons. It’s not as if Arizona’s hurler will need to be at his absolute best this evening. The Giants are averaging an MLB-worst 3.48 runs per game. In addition, San Francisco has put up the National League’s second-lowest YRFI rate (18.75%).
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