Bryan Armetta breaks down the biggest risers and fallers for Survivor 50 following Wednesday’s 12th episode, ‘Inconceivable’.
Just like that, everything on Survivor 50 has changed. Cirie and Rick, two major contenders, were both sent home on Wednesday in a brutal double-elimination episode. The pair were driving much of the storyline post-merge, leaving fans unsure as to what comes next. On the bright side, their absence means we’re likely in store for an unpredictable finale next week.
Time is running out for our remaining cast aways to improve their chances at reaching Final Tribal Council. Only five players are left, with a $2 million dollar prize hanging in the balance. Who is gaining momentum, and who is losing steam, on Survivor 50?
It took some time, but Aubry finally delivered on her preseason hype. A last-minute addition to this cast, the Kaoh Rong alum has bided her time for most of Survivor 50. However, when presented with a chance to make a big move, she didn’t hold back. Cirie was one of the biggest targets in the history of the show, dictating nearly every vote post-merge. Snuffing her torch, with the help of Jonathan, only bolsters Aubry’s odds at winning it all. She’s still surrounded by a few big threats, which should only help when it comes to reaching Final Tribal Council. It doesn’t seem like anyone on the jury holds any hard feelings towards her either. As things stand right now, Aubry is the clear frontrunner.
As previously mentioned, Aubry had help with this week’s Cirie vote. In fact, Jonathan has played a role in the demise of several notable cast aways. Big names such as Christian, Dee, Ozzy and Rick have all had their torches snuffed in part because of him. However, is that a positive or negative for the challenge beast? There’s a scenario where the jury isn’t very receptive to his penchant for big moves. However, on a monumental season such as 50, perhaps a bit of grace will be given in this regard. It’s hard to knock Jonathan’s game, even if his approach is flawed at times. After losing top ally Stephenie, the Season 42 alum has continued to play a pivotal role on the merged tribe. Still, it’s difficult to envision a FTC win sitting next to Aubry or Tiffany, more well-liked players.
Aubry might be the biggest threat according to viewers at home, but that doesn’t always reflect what’s going on in Fiji. If not for a clutch immunity challenge win, there’s a good chance Tiffany would have been sent home. She’s been an absolute challenge beast during the late game, racking up three individual immunity wins. It’s gotten to the point that the rest of the tribe, to no avail, worked together this week in order to stop her. If we were purely ranking who would win in a final tribal setting, Tiff might be number one. However, there’s a long way to go between five and three. Should the season 46 returnee fall short during the next challenge, she’s the likeliest person to go home. Those aren’t great odds, especially when competing against the likes of Jonathan and Joe.
A bit of a fall from grace for Rizo over the last two weeks. After playing a major role in blindsiding Ozzy, the second-time returnee also cut loose from Cirie. For most of the season, he’s formed a tight-knit trio with those two legends. Now, the New Era fan favorite is sort of in the middle. He’s not a target, which is good. However, Aubry has discussed in a confessional that she’d love bringing the 49 alum to the end. Without reading too much into the edit, that’s not something you hear often about future winners. Keep in mind, this is a returnee season. Historically, that means the jury skews towards older players. Will this group cast their vote for a talkative 26-year-old super fan? That’s without factoring in some burnt bridges with several other cast aways. It would take an impressive finale performance for Rizo to earn the win.
I’ll keep this brief: Joe is a stone-cold lock not to win Survivor 50. To be fair, the 46-year-old deserves credit for lasting this long. At the moment, he’s trending towards a second final tribal appearance in two seasons. However, that’s not quite a compliment. Although Mr. Hunter has displayed admirable longevity, he’s the ultimate Survivor goat. His risk-averse, honor-bound strategy hasn’t been viewed positively by most of the jury. In addition, he hasn’t led the charge on any votes this season, preferring to take orders from more powerful players. One thing feels certain: Joe will play a crucial role in determining which of the other four earns $2 million dollars on Wednesday.
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