Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors have been here before. In the five prior seasons that the NBA’s SoFi Play-In Tournament has existed in its current form, the Warriors have participated three times, losing twice in 2021 to fall out of the bracket despite finishing the regular season with the eighth-best record, crashing out in the 9-10 game in 2024, and advancing as the seventh seed in 2025.

They have an experience edge over their opponents tonight. The LA Clippers have appeared in the tournament only once previously, when they lost to both the Minnesota Timberwolves and the New Orleans Pelicans and failed to make the playoffs.

The teams will face off tonight at 10:10 p.m. ET at the Intuit Dome, with the winner advancing to face the Phoenix Suns for the eighth seed and the loser going home. Curry will need to post two of his best games of the season if he wants to keep Golden State’s hopes alive.

The Warriors are 5.5-point underdogs for tonight’s clash at DraftKings Sportsbook, with the total set to 221.5. Below, I’ve highlighted my favorite prop bets centered around the future Hall of Fame point guard.

Best Stephen Curry Prop Bets on DraftKings Sportsbook

Stephen Curry 27+ Points (-118)

Golden State’s head coach, Steve Kerr, already announced that Curry would be on a minutes restriction, limiting him to fewer than 40 minutes as he recovers from the knee ailment that held him out for more than two months towards the end of the season. Realistically, 40 minutes never should’ve been the expectation, but he should be the focal point of the Warriors’ offense when he is on the court, which should be sufficient to get him to 27 points. He’s averaged 33.8 points in 40.8 minutes per game in his four prior Play-In games, an average of 0.83 points per minute. At that average, he’d need to play 32 minutes to reach 27 points, which is feasible. His usage rate might be even higher than usual tonight given Jimmy Butler III and Moses Moody’s season-ending injuries.

I would’ve suggested 30+ points (+142), given that he’s easily surpassed that threshold in three of his four career Play-In Tournament games, but I have respect for LA’s defense. The Clippers ranked just 17th in defensive rating after the All-Star break, but they played slowly (22nd in pace) and did a good job closing out on the three-point line, where Curry takes a majority of his shots. However, he should still be effective on his drives, as LA allowed the ninth-highest percentage in the restricted area after trading Ivica Zubac. He also averaged his ninth-most points per possession when guarded by Kris Dunn among the 19 players who have defended him for at least 35 partial possessions this season. Plus, for his career, he’s averaged his 10th-most points on his best true shooting percentage against the Clippers.

Stephen Curry 4+ Rebounds (-138)

When it comes to his impact numbers on the boards, Curry is a postseason riser. He’s averaged 4.7 rebounds per game for his career in the regular season, but that figure jumps to 5.3 in the playoffs, and his 155-game playoff sample size is large enough to suggest that that’s not a fluke. In six of the 10 seasons in which he’s made the playoffs, he’s averaged more rebounds per game in the postseason than the regular season. Despite his knee injury, he’s snagged four or more boards in two of his last three games.

LA should provide him with plenty of opportunities to crash the glass. The Clippers have been one of the league’s worst rebounding teams as of late, snagging boards at the fifth-lowest rate in the league since dealing Ivica Zubac at the trade deadline. LA also doesn’t do a good job getting to the rim, attempting shots within three feet at the seventh-lowest rate, so more of the Clippers’ misses will result in longer caroms. That should benefit Curry, whose average rebound came the furthest away from the basket among the 11 Golden State players who averaged at least seven rebound chances per game.