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Best HRR Bets today: Top Hits + Runs + RBI props for Sund...
Dan Johnson · 2026-05-11 · via DraftKings Network

Dan Johnson analyzes his three favorite HRR (hits + run + RBI) props across all of Sunday’s loaded early-afternoon MLB slate.

Sunday afternoon’s HRR board rewards hitters who stay attached to the whole inning: top-half lineup spots, traffic in front of them, split comfort, and pitchers who turn clean innings into baserunner math. A homer is the cleanest shortcut, but we’re also hunting the guys who can pile up a single, a run, an RBI, or one extra-base swing before the market fully prices their involvement.

Below are my three favorite picks from the Sunday slate of games to fill up the scoreboard.

Top MLB HRR (hits + runs + RBI) props

Tyler Soderstrom 3+ HRR (+115)

Tyler Soderstrom is the A’s bat I want tied to this Camden setup because the box-score line is underselling the violence. Through 160 PA, he has five HR, 20 RBI, 21 runs, an 11.3% walk rate and a 22.5% strikeout rate, but the right-handed matchup split is where the ticket sharpens: against RHP, he’s at .240/.339/.469 with four HR, 14 RBI, 10 doubles, 14 extra-base hits and 45 total bases in 112 PA. The Statcast profile is even louder than the slash line: 91.1 mph average exit velocity, 51.0% hard-hit rate, 13.5% barrel rate, .330 xwOBA, plus a 113.2 mph max EV and 420-foot max HR distance. Chris Bassitt gives this real traffic-and-damage runway. He enters with a 5.91 ERA, 5.53 xERA, 5.17 FIP, only 20 strikeouts in 32 2/3 innings, and four starts with at least four earned runs allowed. Soderstrom already has two hits in seven at-bats against him, and Baltimore’s bullpen has carried a 4.07 xERA over its last 44 innings. A double with traffic, a run-plus-RBI sequence, or one pulled barrel can cash this.

Yordan Alvarez 3+ HRR (+100)

Yordan Alvarez is the premium bat we still want in HRR form because one swing can end the bet and the non-homer paths are alive too. He gets Great American Ball Park, Andrew Abbott, and an Astros lineup that should put traffic in front of him. The lefty-lefty discount is not scaring me off when Yordan’s 2026 damage profile is this loud: .327 average, 13 HR, 29 RBI, and the Statcast game preview has him carrying a 126 hitter grade into this matchup. The matchup-specific note is even stronger: Abbott has already allowed at least one homer in four of his last seven appearances, while Yordan has hit six of his 13 homers against lefties in just 56 at-bats. That is the whole bet. Abbott’s walk rate gives Houston baserunner volume, Cincinnati’s park gives lifted contact extra life, and Yordan’s barrel frequency gives this 3+ HRR ticket a ceiling that most HRR plays simply do not have. A homer is 3 HRR by itself. A double with men on base can do the same.

Nick Gonzales 3+ HRR (+175)

Nick Gonzales is the sniper play. The HR ticket at +1400 is a moonshot because his 2026 launch profile is still more line-drive than true over-the-wall thump, but the 3+ HRR at +191 makes much more sense. He is coming off a four-hit game in Pittsburgh’s 13-3, 20-hit demolition of San Francisco, and that matters because this market rewards continuation of contact, lineup momentum, and RBI/run placement more than pure slug. Gonzales is expected to hit fifth, which gives him a real RBI lane behind Oneil Cruz, Spencer Horwitz and the top-half traffic, and the matchup is friendly enough to keep the inning-extension case alive. Tyler Mahle enters at 1-4 with a 5.00 ERA and 1.53 WHIP, while the Pirates’ bats just exposed a Giants staff that has been bleeding innings. Gonzales’ Statcast preview line is modest power-wise, but useful for HRR: 86.5 mph EV, 39.8% hard-hit, .336 wOBA, .306 xwOBA. This is two singles, a run, and an RBI territory. At nearly 2-to-1, that’s playable.