Spring is turning to summer and the weather is heating up. The NBA and NHL will be done in a few weeks, and the NFL is in the absolute nadir of its offseason. It’s properly baseball season now.

Nothing screams baseball season like a high fly ball to deep left field, and with warm conditions expected across much of the country, there should be plenty of those tonight. With all 30 teams in action and only a couple of teams starting their traditional aces, balls should be flying off bats.

Here are my three favorite home run prop bets at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Top MLB Home Run Props

Jonathan Aranda 1+ Home Run (+449)

Aranda isn’t quite the power-hitting threat that his teammate Junior Caminero (45 homers last season) is, but he went deep yesterday in the series opener and Caminero hasn’t in any of his last five games. While Aranda has a below-average swing speed, his 71st-percentile squared-up percentage and 78th-percentile launch-angle sweet spot percentage makes him a consistent threat to go yard, and he’s already done so nine times. He should have an excellent matchup against former teammate Shane Baz, who gave up the eighth-most homers in the American League last season and ranks in just the 25th percentile in barrel rate so far this season. Baz likes to throw four-seam fastballs and curveballs in nearly equal proportions to left-handed hitters, and Aranda has a .529 xSLG against right-handed four-seamers and an .818 mark against righty curveballs. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has also been the sixth-most homer-friendly venue over the past three seasons.

Jackson Chourio 1+ Home Run (+426)

Chourio has been limited to just 18 games this season after missing the first month-plus with a fractured hand, and he’s only hit one homer, but the Venezuelan can absolutely lace it. He slugged 21 homers in each of the past two seasons, and so far in 2026, his barrel rate has jumped to 18.5%, which would rank in the 97th percentile league-wide if he had enough at-bats to qualify. Chourio has a very gettable matchup in Michael McGreevy, who, despite excellent surface-level stats, has a pretty poor advanced profile, ranking in the ninth percentile in expected ERA and the 17th percentile in barrel rate. While McGreevy has only given up seven homers this season, he’d have given up 11 at American Family Field in Milwaukee. McGreevy likes to throw sinkers and sweepers to righties, and while it’s a small sample size (41 sinkers and 19 sweepers), Chourio has an xSLG north of .650 against both righty sinkers and sweepers this season.

Teoscar Hernández 1+ Home Run (+477)

Los Angeles’ hitters must be salivating with Kyle Freeland on the mound for the Rockies, given that he’s given up 21 homers against them in his career. After breaking out with his first All-Star appearance in 2021, Hernández has emerged as one of the game’s best sluggers, hitting at least 25 homers in five consecutive seasons and winning the 2024 Home Run Derby. While he ranks just fourth on the team in home runs this season, that’s more a function of the Dodgers’ overall brilliance, as seven home runs in 200 plate appearances (including two in his last five games) and a 72nd-percentile barrel rate is solid production. He should be able to go deep against Colorado’s “ace”, who’s given up multiple homers in three of his four starts this month and sports just a 7.04 ERA. For their careers, Freeland has allowed an OPS 59 points higher against righties, and Hernández has recorded an OPS 102 points higher against lefties. Dodger Stadium is also baseball’s most homer-friendly venue.