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The Mammoth vs. Golden Knights first-round series will shift to Utah for Game 3 of the first round of the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs, with first puck drop set for 9:30 p.m. ET. On DraftKings Sportsbook, Vegas is a slight -112 Moneyline favorite on the road, and the game’s total is set at O/U 5.5 goals.
Below, I’ll provide a Mammoth vs. Golden Knights Game 3 prediction and pick.
Utah was able to even the series in Game 2 with a 3-2 win, and now, the club gets to play in front of its home crowd for Games 3 and 4. The Mammoth are noticeably inexperienced, compared to the Golden Knights, who are littered with veterans with plenty of playoff games under their belts. Utah is winning the 5v5 battle thus far, considering it is 0-for-5 on the power play, and all five of its goals have come when playing at 5v5. Vegas has converted 2-of-5 power play opportunities thus far and entered the postseason ranked fourth in the NHL in 5v5 xGoals%, so the 5v5 production is coming.
I’m not a huge fan of the goaltending on either side, with Carter Hart starting for Vegas and Karel Vejmelka starting for Utah. You can pick whichever one you think is better because they have virtually the same stats through two games, but Vejmelka has been struggling for the Mammoth since the return from the Olympic break. He has allowed 3+ goals in 14 of his past 22 starts, including the postseason, and he ranks 11th among postseason goaltenders in goals saved above expected. His home splits are very average as well, sporting a 2.78 GAA and .895 SV%.
Seven of the Mammoth’s last 10 home games have gone over this total. There’s enough offensive firepower on both sides, paired with weak goaltending, where six total goals seems doable, especially if Utah plays better with the home crowd bump.
Vegas is simply the better team and has a major edge in playoff experience. Utah was a below-average team at home during the regular season, with the 20th-best record at 22-16-3. Vegas sported the 11th-best road record at 19-14-8.
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