James Harden and the Cleveland Cavaliers will look to even the series against the Detroit Pistons in Game 4 Monday night. The Pistons leaped out to a 2-0 series advantage, but the Cavaliers bounced back at home with a Game 3 win. To his credit, it was Harden who answered the call down the stretch by turning back the clock with some impressive shotmaking. Cleveland will need the same production to even this series up.

Looking at the Game 4 odds, the Cavaliers enter as 3.5-point favorites with -166 moneyline odds on DraftKings Sportsbook. The Pistons are +140 underdogs, with the game total set at 213.5 points.

Let’s dive into my favorite James Harden player prop for Monday’s Game 4 showdown.

Best James Harden prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook

James Harden Over 6.5 Assists (-126)

It was James Harden’s scoring output down the stretch that made the difference for Cleveland in Game 3. But his biggest responsibility is still as the primary playmaker in running the Cavaliers’ offense. Across his 26 regular-season games in Cleveland, the former MVP averaged 20.5 points and 7.7 assists per game. He tallied more than 6.5 assists in 19 of those contests. Since the postseason began, Harden has averaged 19.5 points and 6 assists per game. He has tallied over 6.5 assists in five of the 10 playoff games, including two of the three in this series.

For Harden’s game to be fully maximized, his scoring and playmaking are correlated. It is the threat he poses as a scorer that demands the level of defensive attention that opens up passing lanes. His struggles as a scorer limited this outlook a bit in the early parts of this series. Still, his scoring output in the closing minutes of Game 3 serves as a reminder: Harden is one of seven players in NBA history to win the scoring and assist titles during their career.

Cleveland also had far more success collectively offensively in the previous game. The 58% they shot from the field is the best opponents’ shooting percentage that Detroit has allowed all season, across the regular season and playoffs. Harden deserves credit for this and is averaging 12.3 potential assists per game across the postseason. It was encouraging to see more production from the Cavaliers’ guard getting to his spots on the floor, and this will have a ripple effect on how he is guarded. Expect him to have success as a playmaker and tally over 6.5 assists for the third time in this series.

James Harden Over 2.5 Made Three-Pointers (+112)

While he beat the Pistons off the dribble in Game 3, the reality is that Harden is outmatched athletically in this series. Some of this is due to the 36-year-old’s physical decline. But Detroit’s roster is loaded with high-level athletes who play with a pugnacious defensive effort and are not afraid to be physical.

Expect the bulk of Harden’s scoring damage to come from the perimeter. He has had some success in the mid-range, but has greatly struggled to get to the rim. Harden shot 3-for-7 from beyond the arc in Game 3 after shooting a collective 1-for-11 in the opening two games.

Harden finished the regular season, draining 3.1 threes per game at a 43.5% clip with Cleveland. Since the postseason started, he’s averaging 2.2 long-range makes on 33.3% shooting. He cleared 2.5 treys in four of the first seven games of the opening round.

The Cavaliers brought Harden in for a reason and will need to live and die by his production. He met the challenge in the previous game and should continue letting it fly Monday night, with all sights on avoiding the 3-1 series deficit. Look for him to clear 2.5 threes for the second straight game and sixth time this postseason.