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The Angels and Athletics move into Sacramento on Friday with different kinds of pressure attached. Los Angeles is 30-46, now trying to build offense without Mike Trout. Oakland is 37-38 and carrying the loudest bats in this matchup after Thursday’s first-inning ambush. Sutter Health Park has played small enough to punish mistakes, though this is a normal warm Sacramento night rather than the 100-degree Las Vegas furnace from earlier in the week. Jose Soriano gives the Angels the best starter in the game. Jeffrey Springs gives Oakland the more fragile pitching profile. Below is my preview, prediction, and pick for today’s baseball game between the Athletics and the Los Angeles Angels.
Here’s how I’ll play it. I’ll be pumping out these predictions for individual games all season, with plenty of coverage here on DraftKings Network. Follow my handle @dansby_edits for more betting plays.
Soriano is the main reason Oakland’s recent heater needs a little restraint. He enters at 8-4 with a 2.79 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, and 92 strikeouts across 87 innings. His pitch mix gives him several ways to smother lift, with a sinker, knuckle curve, four-seamer, splitter, and slider all in play. That shape can beat a power lineup by changing eye levels and forcing awkward contact. Soriano already handled this Athletics group once, holding Oakland to two runs over 6 2/3 innings with seven strikeouts on May 21. The danger is command. Soriano has walked 42 hitters, and the Athletics are too hot to give free traffic.
Oakland’s lineup deserves that respect. The Athletics opened Thursday’s 5-0 win with six straight hits, got a three-run homer from Shea Langeliers, and added a Tyler Soderstrom solo shot. Zack Gelof stretched his hitting streak to 22 games, which gives the lower half another living piece. Nick Kurtz has become the headliner with 18 homers, a .291/.438/.552 line, .261 ISO, .423 wOBA, and 169 wRC+. Langeliers adds 19 homers, a .254 ISO, .530 slugging percentage, and 136 wRC+. Gelof brings 11 homers, a .508 slugging percentage, and 130 wRC+. Soderstrom adds 13 homers, a .470 slugging percentage, and 116 wRC+.
Springs is the cleaner place to attack. He enters at 3-7 with a 5.13 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 68 strikeouts, and 19 homers allowed across 79 innings. Right-handed hitters have tagged him for a .265/.333/.498 line, .360 wOBA, and 13 homers. His June has been worse than the season line, with 12.2 innings, 22 hits, 17 runs, 15 earned runs, seven homers, a .367 average allowed, .833 slugging percentage, and .515 wOBA. The traffic splits make the matchup feel even shakier. Hitters have a .402 wOBA against Springs with men on base and a .426 wOBA with runners in scoring position.
Trout’s hamstring injury removes the Angels’ biggest name, but the lineup still has enough right-handed bite for this matchup. Christian Moore returns after hitting .333 with nine homers and 45 RBI in 51 games at Triple-A Salt Lake. Zach Neto brings 15 homers, 11 steals, an 11.1% walk rate, .218 ISO, and 113 wRC+ at the top. Jo Adell just went 4-for-5 with a double and three runs against Tampa Bay. Logan O’Hoppe had three hits against Arizona, and Jose Siri adds small-sample pop with a .519 slugging percentage and 144 wRC+. The Angels also scored first in 11 straight games before Thursday’s shutout, which gives their early approach some pulse.
The bullpen layer keeps the Angels’ scoring path alive even if Springs survives the first few innings. Oakland’s relief group ranks 29th in current power rating, owns a 5.09 season ERA, and has carried a 9.55 ERA over the previous seven days. That gives Los Angeles more than one route to a fifth run. The full-game over is tempting because Oakland is scorching, but Soriano is the best run-prevention arm in this matchup. The Angels moneyline has starter value, though Trout’s absence makes the run path cleaner than asking for a road win.
Best Bet: Angels TT o4.5 Runs (-110). Playable to -120.
Projected final score: Athletics 6, Angels 5.
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