Griffin Wong offers his top Same Game Parlay on DraftKings Sportsbook for tonight’s Game 3 between the San Antonio Spurs and the Portland Trail Blazers.
For one tense moment in the second quarter of Tuesday’s Game 2, the 2-7 matchup in the Western Conference looked like it had changed in an instant. San Antonio Spurs star Victor Wembanyama hit his chin on the floor at the Frost Bank Center and appeared to briefly lose consciousness, exiting the game and entering the concussion protocol.
But San Antonio appeared to dodge a bullet; while Wembanyama was diagnosed with a concussion, he traveled with the team to Portland for the two games against the Trail Blazers and is listed as questionable for tonight’s 10:40 p.m. ET Game 3 at the Moda Center. The Spurs could need him to play at least one of the two games; the series is currently tied 1-1 after Scoot Henderson led a Portland fourth-quarter comeback on Tuesday.
In spite of Wembanyama’s injury, San Antonio is a 3.5-point favorite at DraftKings Sportsbook (-148 on the Moneyline) to win tonight’s contest, with the point total set to 220.5. The Trail Blazers are +124 on the Moneyline.
There are lots of ways to get involved in the action at DraftKings Sportsbook, but in honor of the playoffs, DraftKings is running a 30% Same-Game Parlay Profit Boost on SGP’s of at least four legs with at least +300 odds, as long as it is placed before the start of the Boston Celtics-Philadelphia 76ers game at 7:10 p.m. ET. Below, I’ve laid out my favorite qualifying SGP for you to consider.
Given the average return-to-play timeline for players who enter the concussion protocol (7-10 days) and the team’s generally cautious approach regarding his health, it seems more likely than not that Wembanyama won’t be active tonight. But despite the results of Tuesday’s game, the Spurs shouldn’t need him to win, given that they went 12-6 without him during the regular season. In fact, they were trailing by seven points at the time of Wembanyama’s injury and out-scored Portland the rest of the way. Obviously, San Antonio is a far worse team without the unanimous Defensive Player of the Year — he led the league in on-off plus/minus this season — but the Spurs’ biggest advantages over the Trail Blazers are their shooting, discipline, and ball security, areas in which Wembanyama is closer to the league average.
The second-year pro struggled mightily in Game 1 when Wembanyama played, playing only 22 minutes because he got into some foul trouble and snagging only seven boards, tied for his seventh-worst rebounding performance of the season. Still, 10 rebounds isn’t a high bar for a player who reached double digits in 53 of his 77 regular season games, including all three of his games against San Antonio (though Wembanyama played in none of them). He has avenues to reach 10 boards with or without Wembanyama on the court. If Wembanyama plays, he could have more chances on the offensive glass, given that he’s the league’s best offensive rebounder and the Frenchman tends to force lots of short-range misses. If he sits, Clingan should dominate the defensive glass, since Wembanyama’s teammates all shoot less efficiently with him off the floor.
The Spurs have a fairly egalitarian offense, so any player is capable of scoring 20 points on any given night, but with or without Wembanyama on the floor, Portland has put greater emphasis on slowing down De’Aaron Fox than it has Castle. While Castle has spent 72.2 possessions going up against Jrue Holiday, Clingan, Toumani Camara, or Matisse Thybulle — each of whom has either made an All-Defensive Team or could this season — those players have accounted for 100.6 of Fox’s possessions. Castle needs to take advantage of his opportunities against Deni Avdija and Shaedon Sharpe, both of whom have saved fewer points per 100 possessions than the league median. He hasn’t so far, shooting just two-for-12 against them, but there’s some luck at play that’s due for normalization eventually.
Henderson, selected two spots behind Wembanyama in the 2023 NBA Draft, hasn’t been as successful as his draftmate, but he hasn’t been a complete bust, either. He struggled with his jumper in his first month after returning from a torn hamstring that cost him the first three and a half months of the season, but in the final 18 games of the regular season, he shot 42.9% from deep, making at least two triples in 12 of them. He’s seven-for-13 (55.6%) from deep so far this series, going off for 31 points in Game 2. So far this series, San Antonio has allowed the third-most corner threes of any playoff participant, as well as the third-most wide-open threes. The rest of the Trail Blazers haven’t taken advantage of that, but Henderson has.
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