Home runs. Long balls. Bleacher reachers. Whatever you want to call them, people love watching and betting on home run props during baseball games. So much so, we’ve got a whole article dedicated to just that.

Here are my top three home run prop picks on DraftKings Sportsbook for this slate on the first Monday in May: Liam Hicks, Michael Busch and Junior Caminero.

Let’s break them down.

Top MLB Home Run Props

Liam Hicks 1+ Home Run (+870)

Does whoever posted these odds on the DraftKings Sportsbook know how good Liam Hicks has been to start the season? Across 112 plate appearances, the backstop is slashing .309/.366/.557 with a 148 wRC+. Hicks has also managed a robust .247 ISO and seven home runs while striking out (9) as many times as he’s walked (9). It’s not the largest sample in the world, but the former Rule 5 pick has been a revelation so far in 2026.

It’s important to know that Hicks is a lefty, too. Aaron Nola has not thrived against lefties — at all. While the veteran RHP undoubtedly looked better in Spring Training and the WBC coming into the regular season, last year’s struggles have carried over. Nola enters play on Monday with a 6.03 ERA in his 31.1 innings of work, and the largest red flag is his inability to keep the ball in the park. To wit, Nola is allowing 1.72 opponent home runs per nine in 2026, which, ironically, is the exact same ratio he was surrendering over 94.1 innings in 2025. Nola is also conceding a .356/.451/.593 slash line to opposing LHBs, which tells you exactly how you should be attacking the soon-to-be 33-year-old in this betting market.

Junior Caminero 1+ Home Run (+309)

This seems like a great spot to attack on this slate, as Eric Lauer has been incredibly underwhelming to begin 2026. After quite a solid bounce-back campaign in 2025, Lauer’s battled diminished velocity in April, and that’s led to a 6.00 ERA and a 6.48 FIP. It’s also led to 2.33 opponent home runs per nine. Still, it’s not just the fact that Lauer’s lost some zip on his fastball. The left-hander has a classic home run profile. In fact, among all pitchers that have thrown at least 20 innings so far this season, Lauer’s 57.0% fly ball rate is the second-highest mark in the league. His 12.5% opponent barrel rate ranks in the 12th percentile. It’s simply a lot of launch angle.

I probably don’t have to explain why a matchup like this would be enticing for Junior Caminero, who sits fifth in MLB in home runs since the beginning of last season (54), but allow me to float a couple stats your way. After a somewhat slow start to 2025, Caminero has seven long balls in his last 17 games, a span of time where the All-Star has managed an eye-popping .983 OPS and a .338 ISO. That’s the magic of 100th percentile bat speed (79.9).

Michael Busch 1+ Home Run (+378)

You’ve probably noticed that the game total for this matchup between the Cubs and the Reds is 11.5 on the DraftKings Sportsbook. That can only mean one thing: The wind is blowing out at Wrigley Field tonight. In fact, we’re apparently looking at 15-20 mph gusts. Things could get a little wild.

This is all great news for someone like Michael Busch and terrible news for someone like Chase Petty, who will be making his 2026 debut on Monday. Petty is a former first-round pick of the Twins that Cincinnati acquired in a trade for Sonny Gray back in 2022. Petty did make three MLB appearances last season, including two starts, but the young RHP surrendered 13 earned runs, eight walks and three long balls in only six innings of work. Meanwhile, Busch has been heating up at the dish since a brutal start in March and April. In his last 52 plate appearances, Busch is slashing .302/.404/.605 with eight extra-base hits and a 178 wRC+. Look for Busch to take advantage of the rookie he’s facing and the positive hitting conditions in Chicago.