Tunisia vs. Netherlands prediction, pick for Thursday 6/25/26

Ciaran Doyle gives his best bet on DraftKings Sportsbook for Thursday’s FIFA World Cup match between Tunisia and the Netherlands.

Published Jun 25, 2026 3:00 PM EDT

HOUSTON, UNITED STATES - 2026/06/20: Cody Gakpo of Netherlands celebrates after scoring a goal during FIFA World Cup 2026 football match between Netherlands and Sweden at NRG Stadium. Final score; Netherlands 5:1 Sweden. (Photo by Grzegorz Wajda/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)

Audio By Carbonatix

Best Bet for Tunisia vs. Netherlands

Netherlands and Over 3.5: Tunisia lost 5-1 to Sweden in the opening match. The Netherlands beat Sweden 5-1 in the second round of matches. This could be a baseball score in this one, and a very lopsided one. The Dutch should cruise to victory here against a Tunisia team who have conceded nine times in their first two games, scoring only once.

The 2026 FIFA World Cup continues on Thursday as Tunisia faces the Netherlands in the final round of matches in Group F.

Let’s dive into my favorite bet for this match.

Tunisia vs. Netherlands Prediction, Pick

The Netherlands are currently ranked seventh in the FIFA rankings, while Tunisia sits at 58th in the world.

This bet can be found under the “Match Parlays” tab. I honestly think this is a fairly conservative bet. The Netherlands could run this one up with a crazy scoreline. Four or more goals should be no problem. At least four goals have been scored in every game of this group so far.

Tunisia have arguably been the worst team in this entire tournament so far. They lost 5-1 to Sweden, and followed that up with a 4-0 loss to Japan. The Dutch started slow with a 2-2 draw against Japan, but showed their quality against Sweden in a 5-1 win. Now the best team and the worst in this group meet, and I fear it could be a very long day at the office for Tunisia.

The Dutch have only lost one of their last 14 matches, and should have no issues against a struggling Tunisia team that has already been eliminated. Expect Holland to win this one and finish top of Group F.