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NBA Best Bets: Magic at Pistons Top Prop Bets for Sunday ...
Sean Barnard · 2026-04-20 · via DraftKings Network

Sean Barnard breaks down his top player prop picks for Sunday’s NBA playoff matchup between the Orlando Magic and Detroit Pistons.

The opening round of the NBA playoffs is in full swing, with the Orlando Magic and Detroit Pistons opening up the 1 vs. 8 series in the Eastern Conference today.

The Pistons are 8.5-point favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook. The Magic are +295 underdogs, with the game total set at 221.5 points.

You can check out a full preview and prediction for the matchup on DraftKings Network, but for now, let’s dive into the top player prop bets for the opening matchup of the Eastern Conference clash.

Magic at Pistons Best Prop Bets

Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 Made Three-Pointers (-115)

This is not a matchup made for offense, with both teams possessing high levels of defense and physicality. But the three-point line is an area where Detroit holds an advantage it will look to exploit. Duncan Robinson will be the biggest candidate as he leads the team with 7.0 perimeter shots per game and connects at a 41.0% rate. Orlando has defended the three-point line well for most of the season, but it gave up 45 three-point attempts in the play-in loss to the Hornets.

Robinson is averaging 2.9 made three-pointers per game and has made over 2.5 perimeter shots in 47 of his 77 games played this year. That includes two of the three matchups with the Magic during the regular season.

Robinson is Detroit’s best movement shooter and high-volume three-point threat. The Magic lack the level of offensive creators that will command the Pistons to lean more on their defensive-minded lineups. Expect a clear priority to create shots for the sharpshooter and for Robinson to deliver by knocking down at least three three-pointers in the series opener.

Franz Wagner Under 18.5 Points (-126)

It has been a difficult season for Franz Wagner, with injuries derailing his outlook for plenty of stretches. The 24-year-old suited up for 34 games this season and posted averages of 20.6 points, 5.2 rebounds and 3.3 assists. He has also struggled down the home stretch of the season, averaging 17.2 points per game across his final six games since coming back from a 22-game absence. Wagner scored 12 points against the 76ers and 18 against the Hornets.

The Detroit Pistons have a strong case for the best defense in the league, ranking third in opponent points allowed and second in defensive rating. They play with impressive physicality and lead the league in both blocks and steals. Wagner’s scoring is so predicated on getting downhill and attacking the basket, which is a near-impossible task against the Pistons. The Michigan product’s 34.5% three-point percentage is a notable improvement from the 29.5% he shot last year and 28.1% the year prior. But he is still not confident seeking out these chances, and there will not be clean looks against a team that ranks first in opponent three-point percentage.

Wagner still does not quite look athletically 100%, and there is little margin for error against a defense of this quality. He has been held to under 18.5 points in eight of his 11 games played since Dec. 7. With an increased playoff intensity, so few live game reps over the final stretch of the year and a brutal defensive matchup, expect the 18.5-point scoring line to be too significant.

Cade Cunningham to Record 11+ Assists (+119)

When having the conversation about the outlook for the Pistons, it must start with Cade Cunningham. The face of the franchise evolved into an All-NBA caliber of talent this year, posting averages of 23.9 points, 9.9 assists and 5.5 rebounds. He finished the year ranked second in the NBA in assists per game and tallied 11+ assists in 25 games.

The Magic will also be completely aware of Cunningham’s importance and have him at the top of their defensive priority list. Detroit’s lack of offensive creators is among its biggest concerns as a team. Expect Orlando to make a clear effort to limit Cunningham’s shot opportunities and force others to beat it. 

Cunningham has proven capable of dominating without scoring this season. He has also not quite performed to his expected level as a scorer since returning from the collapsed lung. Across his last three games back, the two-time All-Star has averaged 11.3 points and 10.3 assists. Expect the Magic to force the ball out of Cunningham’s hands and for the Pistons star to punish them as a passer. He will be responsible for leading the offensive charge and count on the 24-year-old to deliver as a passer.