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Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals between the Knicks and Cavaliers will be played in New York on Tuesday. On DraftKings Sportsbook, the Knicks are favored by 7.5 points and this game carries a total of 217.5 points.
Let’s dive into three of my favorite player prop bets for Tuesday’s contest.
Towns has been tremendous and he has really elevated his game as a playmaker this postseason. Towns is leading the Knicks with 6.6 assists per game and he has dished out at least six assists in seven straight games. Towns has posted 10 assists three times over this stretch and during these playoffs, he is handling a 32.5% assist rate, which is a huge upgrade from the 14.7% rate he saw in the regular season.
Towns has been looking for his teammates often and they have been shooting the ball very well, and that should continue vs. this Cavaliers defense that ranks eighth in rating this postseason. The 4.5-assist line is far too low for Towns and on top of being an elite bet for this over, betting up the ladder is a smart move with the center tonight.
The Knicks’ defense has been outstanding this postseason, ranking second in rating, and 26.5 points is just too high of a bar for Mitchell in this matchup, especially with this game being at Madison Square Garden. Mitchell’s home/away splits have been notable during these playoffs. The guard is averaging 28.4 points on 48% shooting at home compared to 22.9 points on 40.9% shooting on the road.
Mitchell has played seven road games and he has fallen short of 26.5 points in all but one of these contests. Mitchell scored over 30 points twice at Madison Square Garden in the regular season, but the Knicks’ defense is in much better form nowadays and James Harden wasn’t a member of the Cavaliers for those tilts. Harden was available for Cleveland’s final matchup of the regular season vs. New York in February and Mitchell finished with 23 points that night. Overall, in the 36 games Mitchell and Harden have played together, Mitchell is averaging 25.8 PPG.
Speaking of Harden, he is a strong bet for under 2.5 made three-pointers. Harden’s outside shooting hasn’t been great this postseason, averaging 2.4 made treys per game while shooting 33% from beyond the arc.
The veteran has exceeded 2.5 made three-pointers in 8-of-14 games, but Harden just went 0-for-6 from deep in Game 7 vs. the Pistons this past Sunday and this is a terrible matchup vs. the Knicks’ flourishing defense. New York ranks second in defensive rating and first in opponent three-point percentage this postseason (31.2%), and Harden should have a mediocre showing from deep in this spot.
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